TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e44…79c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.52
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$80.6
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$119.75
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+400%+$72.16
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$714.05
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.35
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.47
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$33.67
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+122.2%+$71.31
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$143.08
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$283.82
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+150%+$170.3
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$65.71
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$138.59
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$348.98
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$509.45
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$45.62
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$916Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$915.97
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+54.4%+$325.81
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$593.13
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$227.4
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+33.3%+$12.94
Magic vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$50.89
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$158.47
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Teodora Kostovic vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$170.53
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Fiona Ferro vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$954.57
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Suzan Lamensbacked Irina-Camelia Begu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.13
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Fiona Ferro vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$118.48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+197.6%+$157.64
Geneva Open, Qualification: Edas Butvilas vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.89
Parma: Camila Osorio vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.84
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$40.75
Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.81
Istanbul: Donna Vekic vs Maria Timofeevabacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+157.3%+$314.62
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Leheckabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$127.2
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.84
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.23
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.61
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.64
Madrid Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$77.21
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.68
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
Madrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabherbacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$60.75
Madrid Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Daria Snigurbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.19
Madrid Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.93
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$170.84
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2024, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$973.63
Iowa State vs. Arizona Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$426.1
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)backed Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+108.3%+$325.33
Marshall vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$94.05
Kansas State vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+81.8%+$263.47
Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentuckybacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$1,232.33
Miami (FL) vs. Syracusebacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+126%+$687.71
Pittsburgh vs. Boston Collegebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+34.4%+$282.57
South Carolina vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$469.12
Michigan vs. Ohio Statebacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+72.4%+$348.95
Illinois vs. Northwesternbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+31.6%+$16.35
Kansas vs. Baylorbacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$304.46
Stanford vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+40.1%+$73.96
Utah State vs. Colorado Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$61.5
Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Greenbacked Bowling Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$118.79
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Ramsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$128.36
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$28.56
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$346.45
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$103.14
Colts vs. Patriotsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+156.4%+$251.25
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$1,509.12
Chargers vs. Falconsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+138.1%+$949.5
Raiders vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+47.1%+$59.04
Dolphins vs. Packersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$147.52
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$951.88
Bears vs. Lionsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$1,588.3
Ravens vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$150.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$147.72
Will Leicester vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+316.7%+$112.39
Will Manchester United vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$736.4
Will Brentford vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$410.2
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$78.65
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+113.1%+$782.95
Will Fulham vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$655.09
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$387.45
Will Leicester vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$162.38
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$315.46
Will Ipswich vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$447.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+60.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+131.9%+$96.7
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$253.31
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.21
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$12.87
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$25.26
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+75.1%+$246.49
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+100%+$48.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.