NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a5856973c75efb73d8d07ca46cb50f10f6e66b7f859a28c5e51616d4697f708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramsof Bills, Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $899,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $915,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $899,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Bills | 2c | 157,780$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.69 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Bills | 62c | 87,340$54,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,329.18 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Rams | 36c | 77,205$27,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,261.92 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Rams | 65c | 58,901$38,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,643.25 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rams | 42c | 30,018$12,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,326.45 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Bills | 1c | 29,260$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.24 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Rams | 41c | 27,233$11,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,199.51 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Bills | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Rams | 35c | 22,693$7,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,750.42 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Bills | 66c | 20,037$13,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,265 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Bills | 65c | 13,761$8,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,937 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Bills | 51c | 12,690$6,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,504.74 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Rams | 35c | 11,886$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,746.8 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rams | 38c | 11,505$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,183.19 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dda…8b1ebacked Bills | 63c | 11,000$6,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,930 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Bills | 6c | 10,117$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.72 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…5c03backed Bills | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…2205backed Bills | 60c | 9,934$5,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,925.97 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Bills | 60c | 9,087$5,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,419.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8019…0fb9backed Bills | 64c | 9,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Rams | 34c | 8,261$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,453.78 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bills | 64c | 7,250$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Bills | 0c | 6,803$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Bills | 7c | 6,735$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.39 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…9fcebacked Rams | 36c | 6,690$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,281.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Bills | 2c | 6,269$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bills | 25c | 6,142$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.65 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…5b30backed Rams | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed Bills | 62c | 5,708$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Bills | 10c | 5,291$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.61 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Bills | 55c | 5,092$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.73 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Bills | 65c | 5,000$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.88 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rams | 38c | 4,906$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.72 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Bills | 31c | 4,529$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.88 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rams | 47c | 4,141$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.57 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Bills | 45c | 3,800$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…d1cbbacked Bills | 64c | 3,779$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…7dabbacked Bills | 67c | 3,734$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Bills | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Bills | 28c | 3,313$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Bills | 64c | 3,103$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bills | 49c | 3,077$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.27 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Bills | 64c | 3,000$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.4 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x313e…02f4backed Rams | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Bills | 64c | 2,858$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.41 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba8…2b00backed Bills | 49c | 2,769$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…5124backed Rams | 37c | 2,729$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.89 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Rams | 41c | 2,645$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.71 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Bills | 25c | 2,500$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rams | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Rams | 50c | 2,420$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.27 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Rams | 75c | 2,344$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.73 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Rams | 34c | 2,316$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.72 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…00f6backed Bills | 65c | 2,308$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bills | 63c | 2,283$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.7 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Bills | 64c | 2,097$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Rams | 35c | 2,059$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.48 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Bills | 65c | 2,055$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.88 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Bills | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6801…9726backed Bills | 64c | 1,911$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Bills | 30c | 1,893$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.28 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Rams | 34c | 1,647$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.9 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Bills | 66c | 1,611$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.5 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Bills | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Bills | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Bills | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Bills | 66c | 1,553$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.09 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Bills | 50c | 1,547$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.91 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Rams | 46c | 1,519$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.64 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bills | 15c | 1,515$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.67 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed Rams | 35c | 1,430$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a8…7795backed Rams | 77c | 1,392$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Bills | 44c | 1,375$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.16 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Bills | 65c | 1,331$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Bills | 54c | 1,300$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Rams | 47c | 1,287$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.44 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe996…7675backed Bills | 8c | 1,283$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Rams | 33c | 1,247$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.01 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…94c4backed Rams | 36c | 1,231$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Rams | 41c | 1,215$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.88 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cf…8647backed Bills | 43c | 1,187$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Bills | 65c | 1,174$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed Bills | 28c | 1,173$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.94 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Bills | 10c | 1,154$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Bills | 65c | 1,150$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Bills | 65c | 1,143$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.67 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rams | 50c | 1,135$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.53 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Bills | 52c | 1,108$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…738bbacked Bills | 36c | 1,081$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Bills | 64c | 1,068$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bills | 53c | 1,060$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.8 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Rams | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Bills | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Bills | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bills | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.9 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…4fe5backed Bills | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Bills | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Rams | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…d1babacked Rams | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Bills | 53c | 998.07$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.81 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.