TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3832…35e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
424
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 61 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST16451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 164 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+133.2%+$1,477.98
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$950
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.3%+$508.87
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.7%+$109.1
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$255.56
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$339
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$430
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$102.95
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$117.86
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jets vs. Bills: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$65.45
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Bills (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+79%+$79.02
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$170.37
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT6322.2%14 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+84.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$260.01
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$62.77
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$54.06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$645
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$372
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$232.5
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Canada recession in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.4%+$88.8
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$276.19
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+336.9%+$1,684.51
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5149%25 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,453Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41%+$595.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+459.1%+$436.14
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$174.2
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$161.54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$76.92
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$275.81
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.03
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$735.24
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+2,074.1%+$622.23
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$330.42
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$218.79
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$230.04
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$515.31
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,190
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.19
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$225.23
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$176.19
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$147.69
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$130.91
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$103.81
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$195.52
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$124.9
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$43.35
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.2
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+139.6%+$976.9
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$159.38
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$325
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+81.5%+$406.63
Will Taylor Fritz win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+71.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$88.58
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66%+$66.03
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+269.8%+$539.67
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+63%+$126.08
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+321.2%+$321.2
Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+142.8%+$428.32
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+125.4%+$1,027.91
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+167%+$834.92
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$430
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,398.22
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+81.6%+$510.26
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+46.3%+$69.44
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$450
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+69.5%+$208.47
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$234.93
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$159.89
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$169.4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+43.7%+$58.66
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+88.9%+$355.61
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+65.8%+$98.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$445
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Geoff Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$128.57
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+50.6%+$164.6
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked O’Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$170
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+123.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$136.67
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$42.9
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$101.38
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$106.42
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+116.1%+$232.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+84.4%+$464.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.