UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f268924b6699b39019295bbc90a23cfe3f63736a7302e30b2c0973e3bb0afb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spivacof Delija, Spivac
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $868,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $974,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $868,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 517 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Delija | 52c | 105,176$54,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,639.06 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Delija | 52c | 100,000$52,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,162.42 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Spivac | 47c | 70,948$33,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,332.36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Spivac | 49c | 48,221$23,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,791.43 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Delija | 52c | 46,179$23,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,962.93 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Spivac | 48c | 41,395$19,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,525.64 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Spivac | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,799.96 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Spivac | 48c | 38,495$18,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,198.3 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Spivac | 47c | 33,695$15,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,817.5 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Delija | 52c | 31,050$16,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,146 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Spivac | 48c | 29,500$14,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,295 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Spivac | 45c | 28,912$13,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,855.4 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Delija | 51c | 25,135$12,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,818.89 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Delija | 53c | 24,239$12,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,846.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Spivac | 47c | 23,397$11,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,367.53 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Delija | 51c | 23,331$11,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,898.79 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Delija | 54c | 22,939$12,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,425.93 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Delija | 52c | 22,000$11,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,440 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Delija | 53c | 21,812$11,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,514.98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Spivac | 48c | 21,000$10,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,920 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Spivac | 47c | 17,538$8,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,295.05 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Delija | 52c | 17,010$8,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,845.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Delija | 27c | 16,258$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.47 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Delija | 53c | 13,999$7,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,433.91 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Delija | 53c | 11,926$6,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,320.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Spivac | 48c | 11,667$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,066.67 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Delija | 47c | 10,667$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035.84 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Spivac | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Spivac | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Spivac | 46c | 9,684$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,187.55 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Delija | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spivac | 49c | 9,424$4,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.2 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Delija | 53c | 9,113$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.04 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Delija | 12c | 9,109$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.8 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Delija | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Spivac | 48c | 6,400$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,327.95 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Delija | 19c | 6,208$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.79 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spivac | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.01 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Spivac | 49c | 5,310$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.29 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1975…f07bbacked Delija | 51c | 5,222$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Spivac | 44c | 5,213$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.04 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Spivac | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Spivac | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.98 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spivac | 48c | 4,946$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.92 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Spivac | 48c | 4,640$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.06 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spivac | 49c | 4,522$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.49 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Delija | 61c | 4,368$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.47 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…f85fbacked Delija | 52c | 4,043$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…80cebacked Spivac | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e19…7d36backed Delija | 53c | 3,886$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Spivac | 68c | 3,874$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.8 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Spivac | 48c | 3,853$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Delija | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Delija | 52c | 3,750$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Delija | 12c | 3,628$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.95 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Delija | 27c | 3,388$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.24 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Delija | 49c | 3,164$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.21 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Delija | 44c | 3,142$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.62 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Delija | 55c | 3,135$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.53 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Spivac | 48c | 3,097$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.62 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Delija | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Spivac | 49c | 2,775$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.27 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Delija | 52c | 2,700$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Spivac | 51c | 2,628$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.86 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Delija | 52c | 2,442$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.84 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Delija | 60c | 2,388$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.32 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Spivac | 62c | 2,384$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Spivac | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.67 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Delija | 51c | 2,194$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Delija | 51c | 2,102$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.47 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Delija | 52c | 2,070$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.4 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Spivac | 47c | 2,047$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Spivac | 56c | 2,037$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.95 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Spivac | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Delija | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Delija | 52c | 1,925$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Delija | 52c | 1,925$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Delija | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Delija | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Delija | 53c | 1,821$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.85 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Spivac | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Spivac | 39c | 1,759$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.39 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3523…a266backed Delija | 57c | 1,726$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Spivac | 41c | 1,612$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.56 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Delija | 52c | 1,490$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.73 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Spivac | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.16 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Delija | 56c | 1,434$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Spivac | 42c | 1,253$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.75 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…f50fbacked Delija | 55c | 1,182$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Spivac | 54c | 1,157$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.04 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Delija | 50c | 1,127$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.91 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spivac | 55c | 1,115$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.28 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Spivac | 48c | 1,001$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.52 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb778…6492backed Delija | 51c | 1,000$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Delija | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…b2f9backed Delija | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Delija | 59c | 1,000$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Delija | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Delija | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Spivac | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Ante Delija win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Serghei Spivac win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.