TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x697f…b756

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT13345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.59
Valorant: YFT Esports vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked YFT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$38.12
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Azure Dragon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.84
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,935.73
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,974
Valorant: Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Azure Dragon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.8
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.54
Valorant: QoR vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,134.69
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.19
Valorant: Team Evictix vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Team Evictix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+400%+$2,080.56
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.54
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.37
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.92
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$545.5
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,842Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,762.98
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,199.99
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,077.96
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$3,080
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,935.5
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,632
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,379Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$1,902.25
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,840
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$3,404.19
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,881Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$3,201.42
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140.59
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,259.98
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,620
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.97
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$820
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Beneil Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.56
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$816.57
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Casey O'Neill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$899.55
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$919.54
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Roman Dolidze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.31
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,280
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$599.99
UFC 326: Cody Brundage vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Cody Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$203.61
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cody Durden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$525
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jesus Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$476
UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Rodolfo Bellato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+203%+$844.2
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$887.5
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$935.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-52.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,455
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$912.72
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.95
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.05
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,338.19
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.76
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.91
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$2,010
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,631.84
Spread: Celtics (-20.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$940
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,180
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.