Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x967b8d96009554cbe3b0b6c04aebc822bc61f78f0cba31c5266e9f4cfc4a1355
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 36,147$18,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,470.67 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed FUT Esports | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports | 53c | 15,016$7,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,131.07 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 15,000$7,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,198.8 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.97 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…52e5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 12,800$6,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,015.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 5,608$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.91 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16af…2cf0backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 3,907$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 3,523$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 3,003$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.94 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 2,989$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.95 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed FUT Esports | 53c | 2,431$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.35 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed FUT Esports | 54c | 1,791$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.74 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -11.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6e95backed FUT Esports | 54c | 1,772$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.98 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed FUT Esports | 53c | 1,623$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.07 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,616$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.97 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,524$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.41 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,370$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.82 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,240$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed FUT Esports | 51c | 1,113$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.5 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 997.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 891.38$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 861.45$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.68 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 846.81$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 814.62$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.02 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked FUT Esports | 77c | 793.46$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed FUT Esports | 52c | 770$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 755.7$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 735.57$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 651.57$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.74 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…30b1backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 545.01$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.7 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 499.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Esports | 64c | 475.34$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.48 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 394$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.65 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed FUT Esports | 53c | 368.47$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed FUT Esports | 52c | 365.77$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.57 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FUT Esports | 58c | 338.75$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…dff4backed FUT Esports | 54c | 333.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 310.11$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked FUT Esports | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 288.31$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 279.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.47 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed FUT Esports | 66c | 263.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed FUT Esports | 52c | 259.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 255$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed FUT Esports | 54c | 238.89$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed FUT Esports | 50c | 235.83$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…90c3backed FUT Esports | 49c | 233$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 222.09$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c07…08c5backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 202.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed FUT Esports | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed FUT Esports | 53c | 198.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked FUT Esports | 53c | 189.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed FUT Esports | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed FUT Esports | 54c | 176.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 160.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 157.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FUT Esports | 76c | 128$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FUT Esports | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 118$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 115.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…70d9backed FUT Esports | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 106.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 158 | 33.5%53 W · 105 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed FUT Esports | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf043…5433backed FUT Esports | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed FUT Esports | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked FUT Esports | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FUT Esports | 52c | 88.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…9e69backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed FUT Esports | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fec…7d1cbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 69.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 66.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed FUT Esports | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 64.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FUT Esports | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed FUT Esports | 53c | 61.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 55.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 54.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 53.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2this page
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.