TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f20…70d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$84.38
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.81
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$259.6
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$181.29
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.7
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+141.1%+$353.12
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.15
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Gen.G Global Academy (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$150.24
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$63.71
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$39.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scroll airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechiabacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.