TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$936,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,108,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $936,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 661 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e6e…be00backed Liquid26c68,362$17,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,974.5641649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Liquid51c50,560$25,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,630.814557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked TheMongolz65c34,160$22,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,908.86464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Liquid50c31,814$15,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,899.4833043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Liquid28c30,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.9875452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked TheMongolz67c28,000$18,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,20019757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked TheMongolz73c26,732$19,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,217.7222354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz51c26,509$13,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,866.713,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Liquid48c24,497$11,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,872.333343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Liquid69c24,093$16,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,671.1922468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed TheMongolz75c20,007$15,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,001.823839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Liquid48c19,932$9,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,469.612353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed TheMongolz72c16,000$11,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,48021048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Liquid52c15,600$8,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0718043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Liquid25c15,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75041040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed TheMongolz43c14,791$6,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,461.7210935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed TheMongolz75c14,775$11,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,693.7511655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz49c12,518$6,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,406.782,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed TheMongolz57c11,257$6,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,847.1551842.3%219 W · 299 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked TheMongolz64c10,953$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,952.827751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz52c10,118$5,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,866.7287047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Liquid51c10,057$5,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,079.2123848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked TheMongolz67c8,750$5,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.925555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked TheMongolz70c8,000$5,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.3838358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Liquid44c7,961$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,470.5271645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Liquid44c7,683$3,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,356.3166551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz66c7,518$4,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.286,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed Liquid30c7,500$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.994542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Liquid47c7,463$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.1359839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2831…5473backed TheMongolz48c7,243$3,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,786.2910969.7%76 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz70c7,111$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.1625751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked TheMongolz48c6,835$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,552.087447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked TheMongolz71c6,744$4,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.8217853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed TheMongolz50c6,678$3,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,372.0820448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz55c6,471$3,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.992,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz49c6,383$3,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.63,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Liquid23c6,370$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.2542142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz53c6,083$3,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.331,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed TheMongolz49c6,000$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,09032425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked TheMongolz72c5,979$4,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.1221655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed TheMongolz50c5,555$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz53c5,292$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.721,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz60c5,242$3,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.42,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Liquid30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz68c4,780$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.9145455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed TheMongolz76c4,634$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.868564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed TheMongolz71c4,600$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.4835861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked TheMongolz57c4,331$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.381,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Liquid24c4,202$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.2742638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Liquid49c4,102$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.0312956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7093…0632backed TheMongolz49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.63837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Liquid26c4,063$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.3815052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked TheMongolz53c4,037$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.9620041.5%83 W · 117 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed TheMongolz49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0403250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Liquid50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Liquid26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0404643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed TheMongolz70c3,985$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.5211253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Liquid27c3,654$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz47c3,637$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.372,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked TheMongolz69c3,610$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.064546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked TheMongolz72c3,597$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.3646165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed TheMongolz67c3,504$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.7917162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Liquid27c3,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94511434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Liquid51c3,483$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.5827552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7065…f73cbacked TheMongolz50c3,242$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.89714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Liquid49c3,162$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.3860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Liquid48c3,159$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.7164552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Liquid31c3,027$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.0169624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Liquid47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.987454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Liquid29c2,992$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.9478639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Liquid37c2,820$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.6112955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Liquid26c2,700$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.991,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Liquid28c2,657$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.9233359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Liquid33c2,578$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Liquid30c2,569$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.7621522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed TheMongolz48c2,520$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.425248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed TheMongolz73c2,480$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.6952456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz73c2,420$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.941,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid25c2,400$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.995,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed TheMongolz69c2,365$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.4922757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Liquid29c2,069$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Liquid1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e39…3e17backed Liquid51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed TheMongolz72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Liquid50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00051252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Liquid28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56016544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed TheMongolz54c1,863$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.587166.2%47 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed TheMongolz53c1,809$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.719533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked TheMongolz51c1,776$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.1212950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Liquid51c1,725$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9310136.6%37 W · 64 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked TheMongolz51c1,661$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.8422949.8%114 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Liquid30c1,660$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.1155236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6a…4119backed TheMongolz76c1,626$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.783056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked TheMongolz49c1,500$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76029739.4%117 W · 180 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Liquid29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43520249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Liquid50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c5…28c3backed TheMongolz73c1,499$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed8…eb23backed TheMongolz74c1,480$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.162556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed TheMongolz58c1,472$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.06560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x314c…975fbacked TheMongolz68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.595971.2%42 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.