TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,064 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Liquid31c11,111$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,444.4133343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed TheMongolz69c10,160$7,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.7221048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Liquid29c7,871$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.6459839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Liquid28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked TheMongolz72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40011249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Liquid28c4,987$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.2441040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed TheMongolz71c2,810$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.911253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Liquid8c2,250$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1445455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed TheMongolz69c2,248$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.8764552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz75c2,234$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.251,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Liquid30c2,182$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.8633043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Liquid31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid26c2,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5104,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked TheMongolz69c1,650$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.51,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid29c1,624$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.612,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz72c1,610$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.1787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed TheMongolz69c1,440$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.451252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz76c1,415$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.592,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Liquid30c1,338$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed TheMongolz68c1,300$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Liquid1c1,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.521522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Liquid24c1,228$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9160248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz72c1,199$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.981,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Liquid31c1,129$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35034146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf65f…0c27backed Liquid19c1,033$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed TheMongolz71c1,025$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.3923861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked TheMongolz72c1,007$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.41,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed TheMongolz71c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29045058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Liquid29c992.16$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3522740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Liquid29c987$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.2340140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Liquid26c954.74$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.793,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed Liquid25c849.97$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.995438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed TheMongolz70c750$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22518056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Liquid13c749.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.541716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked TheMongolz69c725$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7598052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked TheMongolz70c720$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21622266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed TheMongolz70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2917554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed TheMongolz70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.291,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6a…4119backed TheMongolz70c707.86$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.363056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a8…9cf9backed Liquid4c700$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Liquid29c675$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7539548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Liquid30c606.15$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.492,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Liquid5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Liquid9c600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5454732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed TheMongolz70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4323354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed TheMongolz70c509.06$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7246149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Liquid4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2057322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Liquid6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed TheMongolz70c499.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9935861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6787…6044backed TheMongolz73c467.12$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.123865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed TheMongolz77c454.36$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.721,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Liquid23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Liquid13c423.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.841,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked TheMongolz72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6746165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked TheMongolz70c410$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12328657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc304…c6bbbacked Liquid13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010449%51 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Liquid4c355.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2140048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fb…c8b8backed Liquid14c347.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.763129%9 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed Liquid29c345$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.059656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Liquid28c302.93$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.941,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Liquid5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513252.3%69 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Liquid29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Liquid27c246.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.571,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed TheMongolz80c215.35$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.316654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Liquid26c206.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6667372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Liquid25c205.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.414,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed TheMongolz73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4850050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Liquid31c205$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.284037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Liquid31c204.22$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3126743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Liquid7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1424233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Liquid30c194.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.42,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a42…6338backed Liquid28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507042.9%30 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4f6…f51cbacked Liquid28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed Liquid17c171.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6130831.2%96 W · 212 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed TheMongolz69c161.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2174054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Liquid18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2434036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed TheMongolz70c145.71$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.718751.7%45 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed TheMongolz70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8653850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45a7…bc63backed Liquid19c133.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae0…8661backed Liquid8c130.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011141.4%46 W · 65 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked TheMongolz76c128.57$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.124,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a8…7c9bbacked Liquid18c109.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked Liquid30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Liquid19c99.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1941516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64f0…de5bbacked TheMongolz73c95.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.892948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Liquid23c94.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.178515.3%13 W · 72 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid+15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Liquid30c91.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1716047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x210d…a04bbacked TheMongolz70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.434456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Liquid28c70.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.644,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Liquid30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2116741.9%70 W · 97 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked TheMongolz70c68.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5712160.3%73 W · 48 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed TheMongolz70c67.48$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.462857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid27c61.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.585,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed TheMongolz69c58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9822650%113 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe297…e484backed TheMongolz79c54.08$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.632258.7%189 W · 133 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Liquid28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514533.1%48 W · 97 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked TheMongolz78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2848566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked TheMongolz69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4815360.1%92 W · 61 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92e6…8222backed TheMongolz70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8622259.9%133 W · 89 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc9…e4afbacked TheMongolz71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.257143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.