TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ea8…0491

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
492
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT24041.3%99 W · 141 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 240 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.02
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.86
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$106.23
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.5
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.14
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$40
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Showing 25 of 240 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT16741.9%70 W · 97 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 167 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.99
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+228.9%+$174
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61.84
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.44
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.6
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$67
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$80.31
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$231.8
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.3
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Showing 25 of 167 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4252.4%22 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$61.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$59.4
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.7
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+173.2%+$63.4
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$63.99
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.2
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.85
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.85
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$660.39
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$103.7
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$174.96
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$72
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$92
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$210
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.05
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.75
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$64.8
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.99
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$89.7
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+126%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$106.4
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+387.4%+$173.05
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Maple Leafs vs. Bluesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.