TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89dd…f662backed BetBoom Team71c61,380$43,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,579.626940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Aurora Gaming29c34,999$10,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,849.8110142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Aurora Gaming29c34,483$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,482.7616443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed BetBoom Team70c26,509$18,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,556.2725355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Aurora Gaming30c18,165$5,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,715.761963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37d9…9b1ebacked Aurora Gaming61c8,361$5,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,247.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BetBoom Team71c6,321$4,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,487.565,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed BetBoom Team66c3,264$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.4210452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked BetBoom Team39c3,248$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.569855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Aurora Gaming32c3,131$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.699834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed BetBoom Team39c2,450$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.635054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed BetBoom Team40c1,742$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.5528549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Aurora Gaming30c1,600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1203951.3%20 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora Gaming29c1,307$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.8535242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Aurora Gaming29c1,262$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.0210053%53 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Aurora Gaming28c1,196$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.251,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Aurora Gaming30c1,111$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.767651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked BetBoom Team71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7104551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed BetBoom Team72c853.17$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.282,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c14…a9c1backed BetBoom Team71c845.07$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora Gaming30c845$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming62c806.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.8565650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Aurora Gaming59c763.81$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.8122757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed BetBoom Team71c759$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.893145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed BetBoom Team72c741.68$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.0116544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BetBoom Team71c736.52$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.932,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x974b…7c8fbacked BetBoom Team71c728$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.881764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Aurora Gaming29c704$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.848353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming60c702.96$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.187,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed BetBoom Team72c694.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015962.9%100 W · 59 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Aurora Gaming30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6712043.3%52 W · 68 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Aurora Gaming30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6722740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked BetBoom Team41c623.42$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5822838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team70c555.5$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.992,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked BetBoom Team70c549.99$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9920643.7%90 W · 116 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Aurora Gaming30c533$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.155941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc232…e604backed Aurora Gaming45c496.49$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed BetBoom Team42c454.28$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.872161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x151e…58debacked Aurora Gaming60c421.75$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8513765%89 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Aurora Gaming30c420.29$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.2932542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked BetBoom Team39c405$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9519652%102 W · 94 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed BetBoom Team71c369.19$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.1268753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Aurora Gaming30c344.66$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.2610935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0e…4933backed Aurora Gaming30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.331241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8c…e548backed BetBoom Team71c317.01$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.642842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c6…0c3bbacked BetBoom Team72c302.69$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ad…a700backed BetBoom Team55c285.58$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.077152.1%37 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8192…e1b9backed Aurora Gaming30c275$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.58933.7%30 W · 59 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ed3…01e3backed Aurora Gaming34c250.37$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.247936.7%29 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed BetBoom Team71c249.21$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8522049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked BetBoom Team71c246.48$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17544675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Aurora Gaming30c233.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed BetBoom Team41c232.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.558637.2%32 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed BetBoom Team71c227.3$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.850051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed BetBoom Team66c225.37$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7411151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked Aurora Gaming29c211.62$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Aurora Gaming30c205.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.171,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c2…5b5fbacked Aurora Gaming28c194.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.28988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.41per pick48cpaid+135.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Aurora Gaming30c185.9$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.138061.3%49 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Aurora Gaming30c183.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3350050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Aurora Gaming30c170$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1191,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed BetBoom Team72c166.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205044%22 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked BetBoom Team71c148$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0848948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce61…8ef6backed Aurora Gaming31c145.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.161241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada8…2a67backed BetBoom Team71c142.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0584…75eabacked Aurora Gaming29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.936663.6%42 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Aurora Gaming27c132.84$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9761948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed BetBoom Team53c131.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.932,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3c96…f26abacked Aurora Gaming60c116.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.674367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Aurora Gaming28c114.81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.597337%27 W · 46 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x258a…0fc3backed BetBoom Team71c112.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8234…bfd0backed Aurora Gaming34c107.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.29654.2%52 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca96…22f0backed BetBoom Team71c106.03$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2bf…3e90backed Aurora Gaming30c103.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.336946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Aurora Gaming47c103.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0315056.7%85 W · 65 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ff7…4176backed Aurora Gaming30c103$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.14944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Aurora Gaming30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7038452.1%200 W · 184 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x884b…661cbacked BetBoom Team40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409429.8%28 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed BetBoom Team72c93.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6722654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Aurora Gaming28c93.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6716741.9%70 W · 97 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Aurora Gaming29c90$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.97428.4%21 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…980abacked Aurora Gaming30c87.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.584949%24 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b5…ecffbacked Aurora Gaming61c81.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.455879.3%46 W · 12 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Aurora Gaming64c81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5668659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked BetBoom Team56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.212044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Aurora Gaming29c80$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.881246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b41…6ad8backed BetBoom Team71c79.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda0d…fb82backed Aurora Gaming54c74.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6113350.4%67 W · 66 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10df…2206backed Aurora Gaming27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.074124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1bd…b053backed Aurora Gaming29c72.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ebd…6dc0backed BetBoom Team70c71.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013767.9%93 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Aurora Gaming28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.435853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked BetBoom Team71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032649.7%162 W · 164 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed BetBoom Team72c70.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6127744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x902e…0ddcbacked BetBoom Team72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf120…ce3cbacked Aurora Gaming28c67.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.869145.1%41 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed BetBoom Team71c67.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.974856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4c1…489fbacked Aurora Gaming30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6710738.3%41 W · 66 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed BetBoom Team71c63.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8637855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BetBoom Team51c61.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.691,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.