CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcee877ae3e2d7196aaf2501dce01adf7876c26823632cb7c2664615071debd88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5922…3388backed Over | 50c | 890.04$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.02 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 50c | 689.4$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.7 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Under | 50c | 536.58$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.79 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…abf6backed Under | 51c | 456.74$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3972backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 51c | 364.17$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.59 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Over | 49c | 202.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b18bbacked Over | 48c | 109.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked Under | 50c | 94.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 49c | 91.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da1…d19abacked Over | 49c | 65.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7624…ed0abacked Over | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Under | 52c | 40.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 50c | 34.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a05abacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.