TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5bb5…abf6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.39
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$205.9
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.74
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$859.99
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.33
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$329.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+102%+$504.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$929.97
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+474.7%+$4,129.99
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$4,200
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,074.61
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.47
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$475
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.18
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090.6
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$654.16
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,084.7
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+198.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$415
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$314.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$4,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,822.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.