Token Launches · resolved market
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d6498682e9ab4f6d21fa2b2a762dc72507473a1fd08991202ee4b432c1911b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 8,223$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 3,213$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.63 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…abf6backed Yes | 3c | 3,082$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…678ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,060$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0d8dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…5e7fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,640$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.21 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd585…b1b9backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +456.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 5c | 2,270$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.49 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…afbbbacked Yes | 24c | 2,159$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…f757backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09d…3831backed Yes | 10c | 1,935$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…0034backed Yes | 5c | 1,712$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.34per pick | 35cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…12d8backed Yes | 3c | 1,680$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…036fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,609$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…ccf6backed Yes | 3c | 1,579$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 1,514$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,430$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5da…61a4backed Yes | 11c | 1,387$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…cfd8backed Yes | 6c | 1,371$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 5c | 1,348$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…3594backed Yes | 32c | 1,238$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 7c | 1,054$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Yes | 10c | 1,050$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.38per pick | 30cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed Yes | 14c | 985.91$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.02 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0e…8884backed Yes | 9c | 944$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…efbebacked Yes | 13c | 799.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 76c | 793.59$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.98 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…c659backed Yes | 18c | 754.96$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…db1dbacked Yes | 16c | 729.64$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 722.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…dad6backed Yes | 13c | 713.48$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…ac45backed Yes | 9c | 666.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c2…a8c7backed No | 79c | 619.31$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.72 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…d9cebacked Yes | 15c | 600.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…3f8bbacked Yes | 11c | 516$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51e…43e8backed Yes | 9c | 449.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 8c | 435$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 3c | 413.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 406.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…47c8backed Yes | 7c | 402$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…b94ebacked Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c580backed Yes | 4c | 399.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 384.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…d2eabacked Yes | 8c | 369.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 9c | 320$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 5c | 292.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…eca8backed Yes | 14c | 285$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65f…6bf1backed Yes | 8c | 271.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb430…0448backed Yes | 10c | 266$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c25…bac2backed Yes | 10c | 237.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 230.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked Yes | 12c | 230.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed Yes | 11c | 217.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 10c | 208.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…5568backed Yes | 11c | 204.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…bd68backed Yes | 19c | 190$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 6c | 189.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 6c | 188.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 7c | 185.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Yes | 12c | 167.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes | 11c | 162.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e39…f0fcbacked Yes | 13c | 160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…2ce4backed Yes | 10c | 154.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 9c | 150.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…c30fbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 10c | 127.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7a…73ddbacked Yes | 17c | 125.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa792…375dbacked Yes | 17c | 122.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 121.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3490…70fabacked Yes | 17c | 121.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…114ebacked Yes | 17c | 120.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…9ad4backed Yes | 17c | 119.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…aea2backed Yes | 17c | 119.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…2c31backed Yes | 17c | 118.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209a…7b38backed Yes | 17c | 118.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…416dbacked Yes | 17c | 117.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…b65ebacked Yes | 17c | 117.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc881…f8acbacked Yes | 13c | 110.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 15c | 101.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363f…e411backed Yes | 10c | 100.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…a2a3backed No | 80c | 97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a5…9158backed No | 80c | 95.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…8266backed No | 80c | 94.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…5347backed No | 80c | 94.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…5720backed No | 80c | 93.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…f599backed No | 80c | 87.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…c0cdbacked No | 80c | 86.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301a…c2a0backed No | 80c | 84.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2653…fe5abacked No | 80c | 82.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9577…4eacbacked No | 80c | 80.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…2b8bbacked No | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 20c | 61.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 45c | 38.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…bb12backed No | 75c | 26.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked No | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?this page
- Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes won
- Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?No won
- Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.