Token Launches · resolved market
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd55722dfa97cf72e6853a23e96e950578324c2cc95b86b1024358792224efa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 14c | 25,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 16c | 12,918$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…e9fbbacked No | 25c | 10,430$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 1c | 10,220$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 4c | 6,649$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.56 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf494…10a8backed Yes | 75c | 6,438$4,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked No | 26c | 6,082$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.82 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 0c | 5,919$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 5,806$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…5624backed No | 8c | 5,749$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.58 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 16c | 5,602$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.22 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 19c | 5,548$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.33 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…50ffbacked No | 14c | 5,032$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.29 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked No | 2c | 5,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 70c | 4,890$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.38 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 4,715$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.6 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 21c | 4,508$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.37 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed No | 4c | 4,500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7df…0376backed No | 3c | 4,424$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…99f2backed No | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb705…51a4backed No | 6c | 3,873$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…806bbacked Yes | 76c | 3,869$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.48 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…047ebacked No | 1c | 3,780$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9c…4516backed No | 1c | 3,425$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 20c | 3,408$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 11c | 3,081$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed No | 23c | 3,000$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed No | 12c | 2,792$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.8 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed No | 38c | 2,648$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…54b3backed No | 1c | 2,514$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 2,431$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…a91bbacked No | 8c | 2,371$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…c41dbacked No | 23c | 2,327$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.92 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked No | 7c | 2,209$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed No | 4c | 2,162$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea0…bf6dbacked No | 13c | 2,050$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb204…73e1backed No | 15c | 2,001$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 16cpaid | +369.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 1,991$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…43babacked No | 25c | 1,876$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 32c | 1,850$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.29 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 15c | 1,706$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.04 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 17c | 1,706$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.43 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 3c | 1,701$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…6834backed No | 4c | 1,679$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf079…874dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,612$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.64 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed No | 23c | 1,569$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 7c | 1,558$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f3…5d04backed No | 20c | 1,545$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.94 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 9c | 1,500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.27 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…e1e1backed No | 3c | 1,477$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…a5cabacked No | 3c | 1,464$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…6ba9backed No | 13c | 1,437$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.54 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 3c | 1,429$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc993…7bd9backed No | 4c | 1,389$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…df20backed No | 3c | 1,349$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed No | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 25c | 1,297$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.37 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…b3f4backed No | 19c | 1,262$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.36 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed No | 11c | 1,256$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…5ba3backed No | 2c | 1,198$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed No | 19c | 1,183$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.94 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…e4bcbacked No | 39c | 1,174$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…177fbacked No | 16c | 1,118$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.33 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…968abacked No | 9c | 1,118$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…3230backed Yes | 65c | 1,082$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 2c | 1,052$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 26c | 1,022$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 19c | 1,011$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.94 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…e1bdbacked No | 2c | 1,010$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…8318backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29af…2473backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…a94dbacked No | 9c | 1,000$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +449.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 11c | 1,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 11c | 1,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…f0b9backed Yes | 80c | 999.99$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 70c | 990.57$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.17 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 15c | 990$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked No | 2c | 975.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 3c | 975$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…a8f5backed No | 44c | 899.79$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 78c | 886.71$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.94 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…f947backed No | 7c | 861.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…38c0backed Yes | 77c | 849.55$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 78cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…504ebacked No | 3c | 844.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 833.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 18c | 803.28$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.36 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed No | 3c | 800$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb24…a06abacked No | 1c | 794.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed No | 12c | 766.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…3044backed No | 27c | 754.83$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f5…256bbacked No | 2c | 738.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked No | 11c | 715.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Yes | 70c | 714.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…a03dbacked No | 3c | 713.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943a…82d4backed No | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked No | 2c | 696$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked No | 14c | 641.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 74c | 633$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…3218backed No | 13c | 585.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?this page
- Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes won
- Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?No won
- Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.