TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x969b…db70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT420%0 W · 42 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Santa Cruz: Facundo Mena vs Valerio Aboianbacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
BMW Open: Vit Kopriva vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.93
Wuning 2: Masamichi Imamura vs Moerani Bouzigebacked Masamichi Imamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wuning 2: Leo Vithoontien vs Yaojie Zengbacked Yaojie Zeng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Menorca: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grand Prix Hassan II: Mattia Bellucci vs Reda Bennanibacked Reda Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sao Leopoldo: Lautaro Midon vs Bruno Fernandezbacked Bruno Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sao Paulo: Pedro Sakamoto vs Thiago Monteirobacked Pedro Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bucaramanga: Valerio Aboian vs Garrett Johnsbacked Valerio Aboian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Santiago: Thiago Monteiro vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cherbourg: Remy Bertola vs Borna Gojobacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cap Cana: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Valentin Royerbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Phoenix: Darwin Blanch vs Billy Harrisbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cherbourg: Daniil Glinka vs Dan Addedbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Antalya 3: Berfu Cengiz vs Dominika Salkovabacked Berfu Cengiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick1cpaid+2,930.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+1.00per pick1cpaid+19,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+19,900%+$3,980
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.