Movies · resolved market
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f34b4cc73c3b5e9240d27732783abb50253cf109d2cb026506c2bdfbf87eff9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,266 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed No | 8c | 10,168$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.48 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…4027backed Yes | 77c | 8,362$6,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.16 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49d…7e5bbacked Yes | 75c | 5,561$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.62 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.9wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -60%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 33c | 5,069$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.47 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 10c | 2,200$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed No | 25c | 1,395$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.06 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87e…5752backed No | 41c | 1,344$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 36c | 1,312$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.97 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be8…573dbacked No | 14c | 1,150$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 27c | 1,063$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.22 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,040$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.41 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 3c | 1,024$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5726…10f5backed No | 14c | 940$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b5…80eebacked No | 33c | 933.53$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 72c | 810.74$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.15 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…7fe8backed No | 41c | 592$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 11c | 545.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…5250backed Yes | 37c | 500$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 19c | 490.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…d79fbacked No | 10c | 484.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 461.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…fdecbacked No | 32c | 436.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 68c | 428.61$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…a95abacked No | 41c | 400$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…91d7backed No | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 24c | 390.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…cd1abacked No | 41c | 378$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 17c | 369.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb1…5c16backed No | 28c | 364.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed No | 33c | 350.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…fe7abacked No | 41c | 330$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 38c | 310$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…b054backed No | 4c | 294.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 26c | 293.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2c…2a5ebacked No | 41c | 274$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…a158backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked No | 60c | 230.02$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed No | 37c | 222$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 21c | 213$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.27 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 64c | 210$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Yes | 66c | 199.17$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 77c | 187.48$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 33c | 159.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…232cbacked No | 11c | 138.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 27c | 137.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 27c | 136.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8646…1951backed No | 41c | 134$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a9…ff55backed No | 15c | 115.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 34c | 113.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 13c | 111.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…5010backed No | 12c | 111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…78cebacked No | 41c | 106$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 52c | 101.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…a18ebacked No | 26c | 94.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed No | 29c | 70.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -61%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 62c | 68.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 16c | 67.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -9.7wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…2330backed No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…ee5dbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…1588backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28cd…d99abacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc53…cb5ebacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x30e8…38b0backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6900…a745backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 25c | 46.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Yes | 40c | 41.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 59c | 33.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed No | 36c | 33.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed No | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 61c | 29.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed Yes | 79c | 25.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 80c | 20.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 70c | 19.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?this page
- Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?No won
- Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?No won
- Will "Nobody 2" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?No won
- Will "War Machine" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.