TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65b7…ee5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT6144.3%27 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$8.65
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+363.1%+$39.2
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 21?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 12?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$23.8
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 16?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 16?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 16?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 10?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 10?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 9?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 9?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.15
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+173.3%+$152.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+545.2%+$338
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$21.62
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$16.9
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 4 be between 6,000 and 6,500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 4 be between 5,500 and 6,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 4 be between 4,500 and 5,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 4 be between 5,000 and 5,500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 31 be between 5,500 and 6,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 31 be between 6,000 and 6,500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$55
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 29 be less than 6,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will less than 5000 US flights be delayed on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.4
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$73.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Ice Spice be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+55%+$7.1
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$21.79
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+98%+$19.8
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$328.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: United Arab Emirates vs Omanbacked United Arab Emirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$51.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.