Us Politics · resolved market
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60b924763517867984f72010aaa88f0f868af28d5507db6d6d16ff38e4e4d69b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Yes | 34c | 2,145$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.57 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 57c | 1,773$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,742$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 33c | 1,641$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,362$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 65c | 1,129$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.1 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed No | 65c | 950.96$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…bec8backed No | 69c | 690$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 55c | 511.04$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.45 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Yes | 47c | 500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 46c | 475.55$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.86 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17b4…4d48backed No | 64c | 450$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Yes | 47c | 410.81$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c18…de25backed Yes | 23c | 409.16$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…668bbacked Yes | 50c | 399$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 32c | 393.17$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed Yes | 50c | 367$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Yes | 44c | 338$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Yes | 46c | 320$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…90a2backed Yes | 49c | 319$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 40c | 299.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…1ce4backed No | 70c | 290$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…94a3backed Yes | 33c | 254.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…84bcbacked No | 30c | 253.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 68c | 245.83$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…2ceabacked Yes | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 60c | 207$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…ce76backed Yes | 36c | 197.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 65c | 180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…462dbacked No | 64c | 175.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Yes | 47c | 174.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 67c | 168.07$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 29c | 162$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 15c | 153.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 62cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 30c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 42c | 147.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 51c | 146.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 73c | 144.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 33c | 139.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 71c | 128.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed No | 58c | 126.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…aaa7backed No | 72c | 119.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 36c | 115.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7501…9edbbacked Yes | 51c | 113.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 67c | 101$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 36c | 99.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 65c | 94.85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…66a2backed Yes | 26c | 94.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked No | 62c | 85.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +101%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf093…a4d3backed Yes | 43c | 84.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…112dbacked Yes | 24c | 82.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba55…af02backed No | 74c | 81.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 51c | 74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…ded9backed Yes | 52c | 72.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…ee5dbacked No | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.30per pick | 29cpaid | +192.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 55c | 65.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…376dbacked No | 74c | 65.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 70c | 61.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…393dbacked Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…1f70backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…a081backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4397…c3f0backed Yes | 39c | 59.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607a…207ebacked Yes | 52c | 58.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999b…d6debacked No | 70c | 58.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 29c | 58.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 26c | 54.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 31c | 54.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d25fbacked No | 53c | 51.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 94 | 3.2%3 W · 91 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…e75dbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 26c | 49.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…2283backed Yes | 39c | 49.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…8b9dbacked No | 33c | 48.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 37c | 47.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x243f…97f8backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 35c | 43.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 56c | 43.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9223…fb06backed No | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c2…82e8backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…63d3backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5736…aed1backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…c919backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c54…98cdbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…612dbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa08…2b40backed Yes | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 40c | 28.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed No | 64c | 28.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 28.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 54c | 25.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 70c | 25.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.