TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3ee3…612d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$73.24
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$7.07
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$129.29
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$19.1
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.09
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.34
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$10.36
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.67
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$33.38
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$28.11
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.9%+$7.98
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$3.75
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$3.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$27.78
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$59.43
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$16.89
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$23.19
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$29.44
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$10.6
Will Luis Antonio Revilla win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$13.28
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$64.89
Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$34.67
Will Cristian Sanabria win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$14.2
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$106.58
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$94.31
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Tianjin Pioneersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.76
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DEL: EHC Red Bull Muenchen vs. ERC Ingolstadtbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. SKA St. Petersburgbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Providence Bruinsbacked Hershey Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$6.45
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$23.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+43.5%+$17.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National T20 Cup: Sialkot Region vs Lahore Region Bluesbacked Sialkot Region · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$6.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.