World Politics · resolved market
Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x870171e64eefe9e6fbdd881e2dbba87625542df5877a92f92db048b5545faec7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,489 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 27c | 16,797$4,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,546.42 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe719…5d7cbacked Yes | 49c | 2,016$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…1567backed Yes | 68c | 1,360$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 57c | 1,091$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.07 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 21c | 1,033$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.73 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…502dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,017$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 30c | 776.09$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 16c | 751.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 6c | 750.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 27c | 735.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 27c | 699.33$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.98 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 13c | 612.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…4421backed Yes | 59c | 583.46$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 23c | 559.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…e498backed Yes | 59c | 523.5$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…1c08backed Yes | 60c | 500.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.83 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…c146backed Yes | 60c | 479.34$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed Yes | 69c | 473.6$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 15c | 345.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…44bcbacked Yes | 16c | 302.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +647.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…adadbacked Yes | 73c | 275.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…c3a9backed Yes | 60c | 250.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…a192backed Yes | 33c | 217.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 27c | 205.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…868ebacked Yes | 78c | 205.61$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Yes | 55c | 201.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…56c9backed Yes | 72c | 199.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 15c | 173.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…c915backed No | 18c | 169.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 21c | 155.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 42c | 149.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…0af1backed No | 17c | 147.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 143.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…28e0backed Yes | 62c | 141.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f0…d353backed Yes | 71c | 140.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…7f44backed Yes | 54c | 140.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 39c | 137.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…be7abacked Yes | 9c | 134.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +241.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 8c | 131.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…612dbacked Yes | 72c | 124.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 117.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 16c | 104.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +373.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 21c | 96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 73c | 89.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…8916backed Yes | 57c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…8973backed Yes | 69c | 85.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 27c | 82.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…d41bbacked Yes | 49c | 81.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 29c | 78.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 40c | 74.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371f…810bbacked Yes | 56c | 71.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 78c | 67.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…9603backed Yes | 76c | 65.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 43c | 60.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…9344backed Yes | 80c | 57.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb08…e1abbacked Yes | 60c | 57.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6915…484fbacked Yes | 70c | 56.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf856…bb73backed Yes | 62c | 55.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…c918backed Yes | 75c | 54.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…e056backed No | 28c | 52.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 25c | 51.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32c1…9d58backed No | 49c | 51.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…9070backed Yes | 60c | 50.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…103bbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc44…eb4bbacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da5…0865backed Yes | 72c | 48.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 46.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3198…6207backed No | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b36abacked Yes | 56c | 44.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…7521backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb9…e5c4backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…5478backed Yes | 45c | 36.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…108ebacked No | 28c | 35.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b78…8053backed Yes | 71c | 35.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…3f7bbacked Yes | 69c | 34.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd27…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 33.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 80c | 31.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…f6a0backed Yes | 65c | 30.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 72c | 28.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 51c | 28.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbf…1c0dbacked Yes | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…e26ebacked Yes | 59c | 25.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa9…23c9backed Yes | 60c | 25.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…eba9backed Yes | 64c | 24.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…1856backed Yes | 67c | 23.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 69c | 23.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e7…47dabacked Yes | 65c | 22.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…b0efbacked Yes | 49c | 22.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…eadcbacked Yes | 78c | 22.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…6a3dbacked Yes | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…45dcbacked Yes | 72c | 20.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672e…5c03backed Yes | 78c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f9…25cfbacked Yes | 58c | 19.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…61debacked Yes | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…5ffabacked Yes | 58c | 18.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…b2cfbacked Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?this page
- Will Alejandro Reyes win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Iván Arias win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Jhonny Plata win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Paul Coca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Rodrigo Rivera win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Óscar Sogliano win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.