World Politics · resolved market
Will Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa4a6e0335685c0da8fa27ebcae9b1903dae6705dbcf1e8451d36ef8ddb67f2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $700,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $700,743 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86b0…be19backed Yes | 12c | 5,097$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…d977backed Yes | 9c | 4,952$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d8…b0d7backed Yes | 8c | 4,161$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Yes | 5c | 4,128$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…5e26backed Yes | 8c | 3,947$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 8c | 3,787$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ab…bf17backed Yes | 9c | 3,455$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +987%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6088…5adebacked Yes | 9c | 3,351$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd299…b988backed Yes | 7c | 3,291$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +410.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5e…326fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,079$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89c…7cc7backed Yes | 9c | 2,945$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2036…7640backed Yes | 9c | 2,867$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…ca93backed Yes | 8c | 2,807$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…c5c6backed Yes | 8c | 2,771$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…2239backed Yes | 6c | 2,698$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…8ec7backed Yes | 9c | 2,669$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da9…1b25backed Yes | 9c | 2,646$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ee…b1a8backed Yes | 9c | 2,587$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…8641backed Yes | 9c | 2,573$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…c92bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,540$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…5b6abacked Yes | 7c | 2,509$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…c5abbacked Yes | 9c | 2,444$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…0e47backed Yes | 9c | 2,412$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…2e1dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,391$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3055…da74backed Yes | 9c | 2,388$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…6adbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,382$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…fd45backed Yes | 10c | 2,292$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…ec60backed Yes | 9c | 2,231$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e9cabacked Yes | 9c | 2,223$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…8750backed Yes | 7c | 2,164$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…24a6backed Yes | 10c | 2,132$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…be19backed Yes | 8c | 2,122$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…cdf7backed Yes | 9c | 2,059$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f2…8d90backed Yes | 9c | 2,047$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8008…f88dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,026$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc14…95e1backed Yes | 9c | 1,933$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…a7b9backed Yes | 8c | 1,905$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…f812backed Yes | 8c | 1,889$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f66…88d8backed Yes | 8c | 1,880$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfc…1b27backed Yes | 8c | 1,831$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…cd9abacked Yes | 10c | 1,796$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…bb3ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,794$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…e4e0backed Yes | 10c | 1,786$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edb…8e28backed Yes | 9c | 1,775$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…be04backed Yes | 8c | 1,747$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01bb…f429backed Yes | 9c | 1,737$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…c87abacked Yes | 7c | 1,723$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…2de1backed Yes | 9c | 1,718$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…2f62backed Yes | 8c | 1,686$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…1a65backed Yes | 10c | 1,628$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…671fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,625$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e55…c09dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,617$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3567…9d55backed Yes | 9c | 1,608$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…832bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,601$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…20f1backed Yes | 8c | 1,601$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…97cdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,568$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…7918backed Yes | 9c | 1,565$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…76babacked Yes | 9c | 1,547$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…3decbacked Yes | 9c | 1,542$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…479dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,539$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…3e70backed Yes | 8c | 1,532$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 1,519$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.88 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…1c61backed Yes | 9c | 1,514$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…4e2cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,508$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…e73cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,497$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…68e4backed Yes | 10c | 1,470$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…2bc8backed Yes | 9c | 1,462$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d8…0473backed Yes | 8c | 1,459$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…6e2dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,451$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…8677backed Yes | 8c | 1,446$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…c9e0backed Yes | 9c | 1,445$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…4102backed Yes | 8c | 1,437$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…04a3backed Yes | 8c | 1,427$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…840fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,415$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7e9bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,414$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…b850backed Yes | 8c | 1,403$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…f960backed Yes | 9c | 1,397$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…b622backed Yes | 10c | 1,384$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…ff50backed Yes | 10c | 1,362$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd5…efdebacked Yes | 10c | 1,361$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…fe22backed Yes | 8c | 1,337$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…71b6backed Yes | 9c | 1,323$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfc…611abacked Yes | 10c | 1,298$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…55aabacked Yes | 9c | 1,289$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4e…a573backed Yes | 9c | 1,266$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcef…19bcbacked Yes | 8c | 1,264$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e8…cf6fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,256$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…2affbacked Yes | 9c | 1,253$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c0…3b4ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,241$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9743…8375backed Yes | 9c | 1,233$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…ff48backed Yes | 10c | 1,233$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5d…a7f9backed Yes | 9c | 1,216$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…fe97backed Yes | 9c | 1,203$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +1,349.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…e6f2backed Yes | 9c | 1,203$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…b7a4backed Yes | 10c | 1,202$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…95efbacked Yes | 9c | 1,201$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x572b…be9ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,185$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…bd6fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,185$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…fbb0backed Yes | 9c | 1,176$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…4828backed Yes | 7c | 1,170$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?this page
- Will Alejandro Reyes win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Iván Arias win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Jhonny Plata win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Paul Coca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Rodrigo Rivera win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Óscar Sogliano win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.