World Politics · resolved market
Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95979e888f09ee7803c720eff3d577c3486d6d43c112c474e2139a0de9001eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,272 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf466…116bbacked Yes | 7c | 6,812$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…9294backed Yes | 4c | 4,703$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…ea50backed Yes | 0c | 3,562$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c15…10f8backed Yes | 4c | 3,284$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 3,212$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.39 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc42…8dcdbacked Yes | 7c | 2,919$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc6…51e5backed Yes | 3c | 2,407$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…a493backed Yes | 4c | 2,353$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed Yes | 4c | 2,335$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92a…f4c7backed Yes | 9c | 2,322$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…f09abacked Yes | 10c | 2,309$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…4b2abacked Yes | 4c | 2,272$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…2dd8backed Yes | 10c | 2,269$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9462…1f7ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,263$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…f0adbacked Yes | 10c | 2,160$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…8e2ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,140$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9529…923cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,122$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…f2b6backed Yes | 3c | 2,083$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6665…71c5backed Yes | 8c | 2,077$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…2961backed Yes | 10c | 2,056$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5c…926abacked Yes | 8c | 2,004$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a01…8286backed Yes | 3c | 1,888$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd4…3135backed Yes | 8c | 1,839$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e5…b771backed Yes | 3c | 1,800$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…950dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,799$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc9…a089backed Yes | 9c | 1,797$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…dff6backed Yes | 3c | 1,760$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +443.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fc…7d75backed Yes | 9c | 1,759$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…ccb3backed Yes | 3c | 1,755$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +624.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…68e4backed Yes | 9c | 1,707$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…7a52backed Yes | 7c | 1,703$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…aa8abacked Yes | 3c | 1,693$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…33b6backed Yes | 3c | 1,665$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +420.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…fbb0backed Yes | 4c | 1,650$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…afedbacked Yes | 3c | 1,635$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…74d7backed Yes | 9c | 1,623$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…2239backed Yes | 7c | 1,571$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…2f38backed Yes | 9c | 1,564$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…7e3cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,506$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…1ed5backed Yes | 3c | 1,490$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +1,090.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf57…5430backed Yes | 4c | 1,488$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…4a05backed Yes | 3c | 1,401$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…d977backed Yes | 6c | 1,384$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…49c6backed Yes | 7c | 1,326$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…9bc6backed Yes | 9c | 1,326$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…616abacked Yes | 7c | 1,261$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58e…b54cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,249$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,202$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…9f38backed Yes | 8c | 1,193$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…3418backed Yes | 7c | 1,161$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18fc…726bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,078$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e6…5f55backed Yes | 3c | 1,055$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +495.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff40…c553backed Yes | 7c | 1,040$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…ccccbacked Yes | 7c | 999$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…e6b8backed Yes | 7c | 980$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1af…76aebacked Yes | 6c | 968$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…dc8ebacked Yes | 3c | 962$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 3c | 961.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51c…ebc6backed Yes | 3c | 889$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…34aabacked Yes | 7c | 884$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…9e27backed Yes | 7c | 869$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…1016backed Yes | 7c | 855$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…ec7cbacked Yes | 7c | 831$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…ee67backed Yes | 3c | 822$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d6…1445backed Yes | 3c | 808$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…ed1fbacked Yes | 6c | 787$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…e221backed Yes | 3c | 734$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…5a82backed Yes | 9c | 723$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…29a7backed Yes | 3c | 698$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440c…96ecbacked Yes | 7c | 693$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…c58bbacked Yes | 3c | 676$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da9…1b25backed Yes | 8c | 654$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…47fcbacked Yes | 4c | 645$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…5aecbacked Yes | 7c | 644$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…e8a8backed Yes | 3c | 578$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2538…b87ebacked Yes | 7c | 570$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d4c5backed Yes | 3c | 562$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…5cabbacked Yes | 3c | 545$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…3dc2backed Yes | 8c | 530$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a95…c57cbacked Yes | 19c | 513.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…5a39backed Yes | 7c | 503$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd686…e09dbacked Yes | 7c | 484$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…7bfebacked Yes | 3c | 483$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +683.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…dd8dbacked Yes | 3c | 477$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…93b8backed Yes | 7c | 476$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 393.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 4c | 362.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…2754backed Yes | 7c | 360$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 5c | 351.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 6c | 299.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 6c | 255.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 6c | 225.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 6c | 215$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…3738backed Yes | 8c | 210$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82d…f311backed Yes | 7c | 183$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…24eabacked Yes | 7c | 162$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…28e0backed Yes | 8c | 141.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 11c | 137.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…be7abacked Yes | 13c | 84.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +241.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?this page
- Will Alejandro Reyes win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Iván Arias win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Jhonny Plata win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Paul Coca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Rodrigo Rivera win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Óscar Sogliano win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.