TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7257…fc40

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
408
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT478.5%4 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.64
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$82.25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.97
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$163.89
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.55
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36.06
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.46
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$34.98
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.77
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.43
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$39.67
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28.65
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.91
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27.55
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+1,277.5%+$249.35
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+864.2%+$195.34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27.46
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.61
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.67
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29.04
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3023.3%7 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.46
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+320.4%+$45.86
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or higher on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$19.72
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+239.9%+$51.06
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.93
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or below on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+255.7%+$77.4
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+1,252.7%+$166.05
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+139.2%+$32.79
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+154.3%+$84.79
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39.22
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$7.66
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$16.5
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.42
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.19
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.83
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.34
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.97
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.91
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.74
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.62
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.45
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Will Google have the best AI model for math on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.43
Will xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.54
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55.05
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+235.5%+$120.62
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.41
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.14
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+142.9%+$15.36
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.33
Will Julia Simon (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+56.1%+$22.3
Will Antionette Rijpma-De Jong (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+738.8%+$205.68
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.22
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.51
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.78
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$41.37
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
Will Mikaela Shiffrin (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25.13
Will Marcus Kleveland (NOR) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.02
Will Dane Menzies (NZL) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.57
Will Troy Podmilsak (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
Will Atle Lie McGrath (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.77
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$52.22
Will Sara Shimizu (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.15
Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.54
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+264.1%+$42.71
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
Will AA Estudiantes vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.23
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$23.49
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+307%+$69.33
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.03
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+303.5%+$48.68
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.6
Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
Will Racing Club vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+136.9%+$296.9
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.29
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$5.11
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.05
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.75
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.12
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+607.6%+$243.74
Will CA Unión vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Will CA Unión win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$7.1
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.72
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2725.9%7 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick15cpaid-1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.61
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+280%+$39.89
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.13
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.39
Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.82
Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.81
Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.43
Military action against Iran ends on March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Military action against Iran ends on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Military action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+499.4%+$452.19
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+166.3%+$68.85
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30.08
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$42.45
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.14
Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.05
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+144.8%+$25.22
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.1%+$9.66
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$36.4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+136%+$56.28
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.71
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
Unitas Labs FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28.68
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40.12
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.59
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$142.94
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$209.01
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+1,556.1%+$1,190.98
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$97.04
Lighter Airdrop on December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$78.3
Lighter Airdrop on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$32.54
Lighter Airdrop on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23.76
Lighter Airdrop on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$27.24
Lighter Airdrop on December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$33.57
Lighter Airdrop on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.46
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.81
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT160%0 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.69
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.72
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will Welsh Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.35
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.25
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.17
Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Will Alfredo Solares win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.15
Will Luong Cuong be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$90.53
Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$56.73
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$130.72
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+48.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$13.52
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.83
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+270.7%+$28.23
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+126.5%+$15.97
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.18
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+135.9%+$19.31
Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+156.8%+$16.17
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+120.5%+$12.76
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+494.4%+$57.02
Will Exeter City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.6
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.33
Will Monty Fritts win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$12.98
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+257.8%+$31.17
Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.87
Will Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.74
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$16.03
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+177.7%+$247.3
Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+176.6%+$103.22
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Nobody 2" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.24
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will "Nobody 2" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+353.1%+$37.27
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 59m and 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.64
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.12
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$42.15
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$68.44
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38.91
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$119.04
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+329.6%+$75.15
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.84
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.36
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+540.9%+$124.96
Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.93
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.95
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.21
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.34
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.53
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$65.41
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.55
Will Tottenham Hotspur reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 3% and 4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$114.27
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.49
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+280.4%+$198.06
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 3% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.22
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.03
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.94
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+300.2%+$47.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+84.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Ben Sheltonbacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Dallas Open: Marin Cilic vs Learner Tienbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+198.4%+$29.38
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.08
Argentina Open: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.2%+$17.94
Rotterdam Open: Hugo Grenier vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.05
Qatar Total Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Coco Gauffbacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+1,030.4%+$111.21
Dallas Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.18
Argentina Open: Andrea Pellegrino vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.29
Dallas Open: Zachary Svajda vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.81
Rotterdam Open: Valentin Royer vs Christopher O'Connellbacked O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+120.3%+$18.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+80.8%+$10.54
Will Brandon Moreno win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.94
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+46.3%+$7.01
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.22
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.38
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+102.2%+$13.9
UFC Fight Night: Angel Pacheco vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Will Santiago Luna win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+91.4%+$10.2
UFC Fight Night: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Javier Reyes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Silva de Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Schultz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big East conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big 12 conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.94
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the ACC (Atlantic Coast Conference)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the SEC (Southeastern Conference)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.33
NCAA Tournament: 1 seed knocked out before round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+233%+$74.55
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Missouri State Bearsbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$28.86
Florida State Seminoles vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.58
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Clemson Tigersbacked South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12.06
DePaul Blue Demons vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.28
USC Upstate Spartans vs. South Carolina State Bulldogsbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138.25
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85%+$72.3
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$175.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+164.8%+$22.25
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.38
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104.86
All 9 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$43.49
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33.28
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$47.23
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$93.52
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$36.59
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+177.2%+$152.04
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$72.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$53.19
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.66
Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+99.7%+$12.93
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.18
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+145.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick12cpaid+95.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+93.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+707%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+168.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Canada vs UAE (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$51.34
Will West Indies win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.52
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+99.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+298.5%+$33.15
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karrigan retire by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ROCEAN Lords (BO3) - IstabuLAN Playoffsbacked ROCEAN Lords · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kalen DeBoer be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.