South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaea3835b3baef87b71116b6cc76ee1850613003a3b10441bd2aaebad9f7a62a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 59c | 21,744$12,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,924.29 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 42c | 6,982$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.41 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 43c | 4,950$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.25 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Yes | 37c | 3,863$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.31 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 30c | 3,466$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.94 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 41c | 782$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.81 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 49c | 764.85$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.89 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 38c | 744.83$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.45 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 42c | 700.52$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.22 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 42c | 602.54$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.07 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 578.15$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.98 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 573.99$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 42c | 476.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked No | 21c | 474.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.69 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 36c | 370.85$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 38c | 325.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 42c | 303.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 303.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 24c | 229.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.6 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 42c | 228.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 42c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 185.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 65c | 154.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 15c | 120.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 73c | 104.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 42c | 104.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 29c | 98.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 61c | 87.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 69c | 76.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 21c | 71.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 79c | 71.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 35c | 71.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Yes | 42c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 41c | 66.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…3561backed Yes | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 55c | 55.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 44c | 52.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 47.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 50c | 46.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 42c | 34.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Yes | 42c | 31.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 52c | 30.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Yes | 48c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 38c | 26.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 70c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked No | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.