TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9698…311f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4639.1%18 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.19
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.95
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.12
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.63
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.29
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.99
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.08
Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)backed EC Vitória · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)backed CA River Plate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.6
Will CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.8
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.2
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.75
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.6
Will CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$24.36
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.89
CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)backed CA River Plate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
CD Palestino vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Will CA Platense vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Geneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsenbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Oeiras 4: Laslo Djere vs Emilio Navabacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Ruud vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Valencia: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Bordeaux: Luca Van Assche vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navonebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.91
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.88
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.64
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.32
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensikbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.22
Saint-Malo: Lulu Sun vs Yue Yuanbacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.99
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.7
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+42.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.95
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$26.71
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.68
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.69
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.31
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.38
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$17.51
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.57
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.82
Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.69
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Hilal Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.