South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58547e9c4a0fba89617fc01577d89faa2fe0c003c8b26034ecee38d6d8c52817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 58c | 8,087$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.31 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 42c | 4,512$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.96 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 644.37$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 42c | 564$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.12 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 525.23$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 53c | 373.75$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 287.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.63 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 266.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 39c | 254.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 41c | 196$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 191.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 42c | 162.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 161.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 45c | 158$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 42c | 81.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Over | 53c | 61.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 29.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…4b7bbacked Over | 56c | 25.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…729cbacked Over | 67c | 25.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.