South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ac0398ff2a11256bb5cf19b4c2e78d9b05ecd5aab504eaf741edd2ca03fde4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 870.13$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.27 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 425.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 30c | 344.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 32c | 266.04$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 67c | 252.49$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 68c | 173.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Over | 33c | 162$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 67c | 162$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 74c | 152.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 30c | 109.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 33c | 65.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Under | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 29c | 54.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 71c | 28.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.