South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d520d1fae486305206e321cd5ba5468be0942f189166b706b0f6f90958eb6af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 1c | 54,081$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes | 62c | 18,559$11,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,557.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 15,366$7,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,554.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 58c | 15,142$8,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,374.12 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 61c | 6,412$3,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910.79 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Yes | 47c | 5,100$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Yes | 0c | 4,502$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 4,413$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.11 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 46c | 4,153$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 49c | 3,364$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.35 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 53c | 3,216$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.37 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Yes | 50c | 2,500$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 2,008$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.83 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 51c | 1,890$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…b5c5backed Yes | 48c | 1,837$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Yes | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…e599backed Yes | 63c | 1,358$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 34c | 1,305$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.82 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 1,216$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.44 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 38c | 902.78$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.03 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 37c | 793$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.59 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 743.77$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…f736backed Yes | 37c | 735.14$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 42c | 714.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.52 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 38c | 700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 52c | 619.04$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.85 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a35…4835backed Yes | 44c | 590.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +400%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 50c | 520.88$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.44 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2c…86bcbacked Yes | 51c | 493.52$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 49c | 486.4$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.09 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 37c | 473$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.99 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes | 63c | 472.92$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 45c | 400$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.06 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 29c | 388.76$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 369.49$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.72 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 38c | 368$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.16 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed No | 74c | 330$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 50c | 328.91$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 49c | 299.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.43 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 49c | 296.42$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…a1bfbacked Yes | 49c | 244.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 38c | 240$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 38c | 240$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 44c | 217.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 60c | 208.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 39c | 202.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.29 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 45c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x317b…a53bbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 53c | 190.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.03 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 55c | 188.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 53c | 174.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…1ad2backed Yes | 64c | 171.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 48c | 134.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 54c | 119.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6925…d76dbacked Yes | 43c | 106.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 39c | 105.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Yes | 47c | 103.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 48c | 101.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked No | 39c | 101.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 18c | 95.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 50c | 94.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 54c | 92.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 54c | 92.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 54c | 92.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…6743backed No | 58c | 87.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 54c | 86.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 59c | 85.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 37c | 85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 83.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 80.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 46c | 78.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will CA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.