South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31552c00832cbea7321334e9998d918cd08e847fcda6723d8a7db72a2db25bdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 17c | 41,512$6,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,970.85 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…a018backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 10,076$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…99fcbacked Yes | 15c | 2,548$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.14 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 1,779$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.95 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked No | 77c | 1,294$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.96 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 1,000$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 457.63$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.63 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…c8a2backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 9c | 401.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Yes | 6c | 398.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 5c | 393.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…4ce4backed Yes | 28c | 381.04$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550a…cfe3backed Yes | 7c | 372.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 21c | 357.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked Yes | 16c | 348.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…57b8backed Yes | 31c | 317.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 71c | 313.56$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…4a7cbacked Yes | 12c | 299.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…dd3cbacked Yes | 15c | 260$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…3ee0backed Yes | 5c | 204.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 10c | 197.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f28…0a1dbacked Yes | 13c | 197.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 12c | 162.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 76c | 142.02$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 14c | 137.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x317b…a53bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…0738backed Yes | 13c | 131.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 78c | 128.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…5e9fbacked Yes | 16c | 124.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 76c | 121.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 13c | 121$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 120.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 23c | 107.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 74c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 97.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 78c | 94.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 15c | 82.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5629…50dabacked Yes | 20c | 75.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 78c | 50.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 29c | 46.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 79c | 44.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 75c | 41.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 74c | 38.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed No | 78c | 35.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 33.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed No | 80c | 21.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…df06backed No | 77c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…5782backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 77c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will CA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.