Tennis · resolved market
Ruud vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23489940d6209e806d7895baecbf0faef650ec6b5f0ec3b0df0d5ab1612fbba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 9,298$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,303.23 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Over | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.89 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over | 58c | 1,087$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.46 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 833$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.14 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…2a32backed Over | 58c | 674.78$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 44c | 599.98$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.99 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 42c | 594.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.94 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Over | 58c | 570$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Over | 56c | 452.87$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.61 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 49c | 409.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.47 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 55c | 360$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 57c | 349.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 54c | 301$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 254.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Over | 50c | 239.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 43c | 232.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Over | 57c | 227.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 49c | 186.41$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…3d32backed Over | 55c | 182.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 43c | 160$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over | 55c | 115.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 43c | 95.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd171…1722backed Over | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…8fd2backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bc…99b8backed Over | 56c | 71.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under | 43c | 59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 45c | 49.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Under | 45c | 49.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 40c | 43.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 49c | 38.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 45c | 36.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…4d8cbacked Under | 57c | 35.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…3403backed Over | 56c | 34.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 50c | 19.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Over | 50c | 19.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ruud vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Casper Ruud vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano DarderiCasper Ruud won
- Ruud vs. Darderi: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Ruud vs. Darderi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Ruud vs. Darderi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs DarderiRuud won
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)Ruud won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.