Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x094fdbd84d4ca1d01cc1cb86b24faedc488c41d8e3aade5b4a80225cbc8a4312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruudof Ruud, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d97…f263backed Darderi | 53c | 7,769$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.88 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ruud | 44c | 6,069$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Darderi | 57c | 3,054$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.73 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | -12.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Ruud | 50c | 2,398$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.18 | 134 | 27.6%37 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Darderi | 53c | 1,785$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.89 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Ruud | 45c | 1,647$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.16 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Ruud | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.74 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Darderi | 53c | 991.8$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.69 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Darderi | 54c | 922.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Ruud | 47c | 904.71$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.32 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Ruud | 46c | 687.92$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.6 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Ruud | 46c | 630.88$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.68 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Ruud | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Ruud | 67c | 599.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Ruud | 53c | 498.21$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.28 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Ruud | 64c | 481.75$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Darderi | 49c | 449$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Darderi | 53c | 433.77$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.9 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Darderi | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Ruud | 46c | 399.98$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…6679backed Darderi | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Ruud | 46c | 328.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.26 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…d211backed Ruud | 47c | 327.93$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Ruud | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +7.1wins | +0.42per pick | 11cpaid | +342.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Ruud | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.45per pick | 11cpaid | +334.9%equal weight | 69+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Ruud | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Ruud | 44c | 284.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.12 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Darderi | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Ruud | 31c | 261$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.09 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Ruud | 71c | 245.07$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Darderi | 50c | 226.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Ruud | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Ruud | 17c | 210.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.17 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked Ruud | 47c | 208.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Ruud | 44c | 205.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Darderi | 54c | 185.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Darderi | 52c | 154.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Ruud | 64c | 121.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Ruud | 50c | 121.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…8ab7backed Ruud | 46c | 108.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Darderi | 53c | 106$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Ruud | 25c | 102$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Ruud | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Darderi | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Ruud | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Ruud | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Darderi | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Ruud | 45c | 98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Darderi | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Darderi | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Ruud | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ruud | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Ruud | 49c | 74.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ruud | 45c | 69.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Ruud | 63c | 61.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Ruud | 66c | 60.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Ruud | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -19.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Ruud | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Ruud | 45c | 43.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Ruud | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Ruud | 48c | 31.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Darderi | 53c | 30.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Darderi | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Darderi | 52c | 21.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Darderi | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9084…d70fbacked Darderi | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…c3d9backed Darderi | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Darderi | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)this page
- Casper Ruud vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano DarderiCasper Ruud won
- Ruud vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Ruud vs. Darderi: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Ruud vs. Darderi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Ruud vs. Darderi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs DarderiRuud won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.