TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c3a…8ab7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4951%25 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$25.85
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$43.21
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$53.18
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.45
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$146.25
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Sheltonbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$58.8
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.97
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Tirantebacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensikbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$38
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Busebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.68
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$20.43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navonebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)backed Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Sonego vs Ignacio Busebacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristian Garin vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$37.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.