TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,613 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No47c28,257$13,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,342.566,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed No0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes48c12,924$6,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,686.0316537%61 W · 104 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes61c9,000$5,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.852045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c8,973$3,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.252,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89ce…2edfbacked No41c8,795$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6001540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No39c6,705$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.952948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No42c5,778$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4421030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No40c5,017$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.2485748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes50c5,000$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.919055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No39c4,979$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.4340655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes60c4,771$2,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.591957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed No41c4,624$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.7311437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes62c4,100$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.981963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes59c4,068$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.82161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes50c4,002$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.273764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No40c3,965$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.8959847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No40c3,750$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9720545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No41c3,576$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.711,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes45c3,037$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.043650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked Yes60c2,997$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+65.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No40c2,995$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.0232049.1%157 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Yes60c2,578$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.333141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c2,436$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.174,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes60c2,392$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.472748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No40c2,206$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.8741850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes48c2,081$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.397440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No44c2,015$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.45637.5%21 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.983542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68df…108ebacked No1c1,983$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No39c1,835$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.121,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.928949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccfa…dd3fbacked Yes63c1,584$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ab…97b6backed No45c1,524$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes62c1,475$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.928350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Yes59c1,356$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.931973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes60c1,325$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.8610634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes59c1,100$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45110426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes57c1,100$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.7182763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Yes61c1,094$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6320651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.623632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Yes60c999.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.996439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes62c976.35$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1622049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed No52c957.55$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes60c882.55$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.4459332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes58c853.25$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.465754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.334450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes60c829.6$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.846056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes65c808.55$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.993161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No37c807.41$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.671,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes59c804.71$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.937131%22 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.653154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Yes65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc126…60aebacked Yes58c755.17$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.171369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes62c705.08$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.9310850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No44c673.72$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes63c670$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.64151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes48c651.13$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.595044%22 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes64c637.22$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.43060%18 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…98e3backed Yes52c525.74$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.361172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.472157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes64c505.34$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.928666.3%57 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No35c482.49$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.875552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed No40c478.51$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.475259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked No45c467.54$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.656338.1%24 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked No51c443.43$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.152330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes59c397.53$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2356051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Yes59c381.36$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.361650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.839154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No37c342.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.261,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…c775backed Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ca…6e94backed Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.872157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed No40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ac…4025backed Yes59c297.39$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.932450%12 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x416c…a782backed Yes60c289.17$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f8…5edbbacked Yes59c269.49$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.49955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes59c262.57$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.571942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes63c261.53$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3112741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No41c261.21$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8322146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Yes38c260$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.23050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x442d…f7bebacked Yes60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd83c…6b83backed Yes59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.292441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3803…765ebacked Yes64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No50c233.61$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.718358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed No37c232.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872528%7 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No37c216.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes59c211.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.866558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No41c209.25$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7916848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4395…8fd0backed No48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1218…7d9fbacked Yes66c207.13$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed No50c205.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.945851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No49c203.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9916253.7%87 W · 75 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Yes59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3910031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes59c202$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8227752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8018449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes58c199.98$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.994348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Yes63c199.97$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.993461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes61c188.52$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.521540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.