Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x524f3dda8579c7c718a1b18a8c48c8afb303d583600c4d87035df3f988e6dff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 34,340$8,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,814.93 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…37aebacked Over | 78c | 16,165$12,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 14,596$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.56 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Over | 77c | 12,924$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.25 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 21c | 10,992$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.35 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 76c | 7,999$6,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.78 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 77c | 5,195$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.81 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 19c | 4,143$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 25c | 3,932$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.14 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 75c | 3,719$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.98 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 3,641$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.54 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 75c | 3,067$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.67 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 23c | 3,020$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.59 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 79c | 2,530$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.3 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 23c | 2,192$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.35 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 1,852$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.51 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 22c | 1,851$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.56 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 75c | 1,758$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.95 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Over | 62c | 1,573$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Over | 78c | 1,538$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.46 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 75c | 1,533$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 22c | 1,504$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.59 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 79c | 1,477$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.64 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 22c | 1,400$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 65c | 1,346$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.79 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Over | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…5dddbacked Over | 78c | 1,259$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 78c | 1,212$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 14c | 1,067$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 53c | 1,030$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.37 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0309…3e4dbacked Over | 80c | 909.6$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 77c | 909.09$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…4007backed Over | 77c | 909.09$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 22c | 867.92$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.9 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Under | 30c | 689.17$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Under | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…19afbacked Over | 71c | 637$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 19c | 616.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 22c | 563.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 32c | 556.79$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 19c | 551.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Over | 70c | 529$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 19c | 526.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Over | 78c | 512.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa90b…5ca7backed Over | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under | 22c | 460$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…09cabacked Over | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…02a3backed Over | 77c | 434.53$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 422.35$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Under | 25c | 388$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 39c | 365.54$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 24c | 347.83$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 68c | 332.41$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 75c | 329.16$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 42c | 324$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 22c | 313.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 55c | 306.84$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.08 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 79c | 305.33$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 23c | 299$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 18c | 277.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…5a45backed Over | 79c | 273.82$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 23c | 263.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Under | 35c | 233.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 26c | 214.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 199.06$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 78c | 190.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Over | 79c | 183.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Over | 78c | 160.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Over | 78c | 159.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Over | 80c | 156.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 22c | 155.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…08a2backed Over | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 77c | 153$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -61%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 73c | 151.89$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Under | 32c | 150.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 22c | 139.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 28c | 138$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…6b53backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…baddbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 80c | 126.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 26c | 117$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…bda2backed Over | 79c | 115$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Under | 21c | 107.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Under | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 19c | 102.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 75c | 102.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…45febacked Over | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.