TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa90b…5ca7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+521.1%+$1,563.35
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$625
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$126.32
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.93
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.49
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$172.52
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$384.56
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$194.44
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$89.8
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$127.26
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$181
ATP Toronto – Musetti vs. Duckworthbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W) backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$25.78
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Fucsovicsbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Munar backed Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Raducanu (W)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+43.6%+$17.45
Wimbledon: Borges vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+52.4%+$26.19
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Fonseca backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon: Fucsovics vs. Monfilsbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon: Draper vs. Cilic backed Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Diallo backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+37%+$9.25
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Harrisbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+53.6%+$26.78
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Bolt backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Wimbledon: Rinderknech vs. Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Perricardbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$38.17
Wimbledon: Basilashvili vs. Musetti backed Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$156.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$57.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.