Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Bolt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x434e8ffc030fea529c8e4dd4fc4e9e20f6bbe3dbb0e890fc2d4d9050adb9ac1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Bolt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Bolt | 24c | 33,114$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800.13 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Shelton | 71c | 18,999$13,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,461.12 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Shelton | 78c | 12,743$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.19 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Shelton | 66c | 8,218$5,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.65 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bolt | 22c | 5,148$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.17 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Bolt | 15c | 4,679$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.13 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Shelton | 79c | 4,530$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.5 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bolt | 21c | 4,027$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.7 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Shelton | 79c | 3,842$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Shelton | 71c | 3,809$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.65 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Bolt | 26c | 3,079$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.86 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Bolt | 12c | 2,909$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bolt | 13c | 2,385$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.53 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bolt | 22c | 1,730$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.55 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Shelton | 75c | 1,098$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.45 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bolt | 13c | 1,071$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.97 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…39b7backed Bolt | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd672…9d50backed Bolt | 23c | 960$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5783…7fdebacked Shelton | 77c | 880$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a94…56edbacked Shelton | 77c | 860$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Shelton | 79c | 760.71$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Shelton | 76c | 749.99$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Shelton | 67c | 626$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.87 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…57cabacked Bolt | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Shelton | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bolt | 21c | 588.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348d…b38fbacked Shelton | 77c | 545$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Shelton | 75c | 519$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.94 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Shelton | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Shelton | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…1de0backed Bolt | 23c | 445$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…370bbacked Bolt | 23c | 445$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Shelton | 78c | 443.14$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f0…9b5cbacked Shelton | 77c | 425$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Bolt | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c76…50fdbacked Shelton | 76c | 300.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Bolt | 7c | 240$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Bolt | 22c | 227.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…767ebacked Bolt | 22c | 220.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bolt | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Shelton | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Bolt | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Bolt | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bolt | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Bolt | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Bolt | 10c | 164.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1472…7e5bbacked Shelton | 77c | 135$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…2dccbacked Bolt | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Shelton | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Shelton | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…7566backed Shelton | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Shelton | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x763e…4620backed Shelton | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe066…1ee6backed Shelton | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Shelton | 69c | 107.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2089…68c7backed Bolt | 23c | 105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…1cd7backed Bolt | 23c | 105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Bolt | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Shelton | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Shelton | 78c | 93.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Shelton | 78c | 73.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Bolt | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Shelton | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa90b…5ca7backed Shelton | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6948…4370backed Shelton | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +64%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7b…391fbacked Shelton | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Shelton | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Shelton | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.2wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +2,177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…f1e4backed Shelton | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…a142backed Shelton | 78c | 13.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.