TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x697b…0d4e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Chess, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Chess at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.77
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$82.88
Nationals vs. Brewersbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Phillies vs. Padresbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.74
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
Angels vs. Blue Jaysbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Reds vs. Philliesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.6
Reds vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.46
Brewers vs. Metsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.44
Tigers vs. Nationalsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Padres vs. Philliesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.8
Tigers vs. Nationalsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.29
Twins vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$121
Cardinals vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$184.57
Reds vs. Red Soxbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$89
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$198.55
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+159.7%+$105.6
Mariners vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.65
Red Sox vs. Marinersbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$27
Mariners vs. Diamondbacksbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$184.67
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$60.6
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$38.86
Marlins vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47.59
Cubs vs. Philliesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.57
Orioles vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$29.59
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Elvina Kalieva vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.8
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemundbacked Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.79
Wimbledon: Auger-Aliassime vs. Struffbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.03
Wimbledon: Norrie vs. Tiafoe backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.35
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Tien backed Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$61.2
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Bolt backed Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon: Rinderknech vs. Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.61
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Perricardbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.88
Wimbledon: Siniakova vs. Qinwen (W) backed Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$37.89
Wimbledon: Fognini vs. Alcaraz backed Fognini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon: Rune vs. Jarry backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.77
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.62
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$91.5
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Gauffbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Inter Milan vs. Fluminense: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$260.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
ICC World Test Championship: Australia vs. South Africabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.