MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89d2be2166fbc16e5eaacc695997c53ed6ce0302701811b67d2cbfda393311c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 4c | 26,119$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.62 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Nationals | 41c | 12,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Nationals | 2c | 8,160$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nationals | 42c | 5,303$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.15 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tigers | 59c | 4,667$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.91 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 42c | 3,700$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Nationals | 41c | 2,502$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.76 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Tigers | 58c | 2,450$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 2c | 2,393$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Tigers | 59c | 2,157$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.37 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 41c | 2,146$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.76 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 4c | 2,130$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Tigers | 61c | 2,129$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.31 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Tigers | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 58c | 1,667$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.44 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Tigers | 59c | 1,605$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.94 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nationals | 43c | 1,520$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.8 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Nationals | 11c | 1,464$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.68 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers | 58c | 1,450$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers | 58c | 1,249$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.58 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nationals | 41c | 1,249$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Tigers | 59c | 1,249$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe994…86ccbacked Nationals | 42c | 1,246$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…dca2backed Tigers | 58c | 1,239$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nationals | 41c | 1,205$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nationals | 8c | 1,147$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Tigers | 58c | 1,039$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.45 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…f32ebacked Nationals | 40c | 1,010$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…acf4backed Tigers | 60c | 1,010$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Nationals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tigers | 59c | 675.47$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.47 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Tigers | 59c | 443.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.1 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Tigers | 58c | 426.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.33 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 57c | 406.88$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 41c | 314.69$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Nationals | 34c | 309.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tigers | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Tigers | 58c | 295.69$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 41c | 274.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Nationals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Nationals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Tigers | 59c | 232.2$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Tigers | 67c | 206.19$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…dab2backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Nationals | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Nationals | 41c | 199.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Tigers | 59c | 193$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Tigers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Tigers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Tigers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Tigers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Tigers | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Nationals | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…f4f2backed Nationals | 42c | 126.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 59c | 126$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…5c0dbacked Tigers | 63c | 125.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…8201backed Nationals | 48c | 125.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Tigers | 60c | 125.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb3…48b2backed Nationals | 42c | 120.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb26…dab7backed Nationals | 41c | 119.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Tigers | 59c | 102$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193e…5f99backed Nationals | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Tigers | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1cc5backed Nationals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Tigers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Tigers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…e0ebbacked Tigers | 59c | 84.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…04f6backed Nationals | 42c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb103…3aa5backed Tigers | 59c | 81.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0e67backed Tigers | 59c | 77.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nationals | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…80bbbacked Tigers | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Tigers | 59c | 69.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Tigers | 60c | 66.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Nationals | 42c | 62.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…9858backed Tigers | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nationals | 42c | 58.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Tigers | 60c | 50.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Tigers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Nationals | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Tigers | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Tigers | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nationals | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…9751backed Tigers | 59c | 42.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Tigers | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…7f7dbacked Tigers | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5b84backed Tigers | 59c | 38.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed Tigers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Tigers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Tigers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 58c | 30.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…04f5backed Tigers | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…b6c1backed Nationals | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Tigers | 58c | 29.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.