MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29717ef6eaeb9786b82859146febe6e58e8a147f56516154a312b0acb1f94aa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Cubs, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cubs | 47c | 20,141$9,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,466.35 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Phillies | 77c | 17,908$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,107.52 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Phillies | 53c | 13,441$7,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,317.27 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 31c | 7,404$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 63c | 6,572$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 30c | 5,781$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.62 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Phillies | 46c | 5,749$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.36 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Cubs | 46c | 4,574$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.1 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Cubs | 39c | 3,665$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.66 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cubs | 29c | 3,441$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.72 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 53c | 3,328$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 33c | 2,817$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.7 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Cubs | 26c | 2,729$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.01 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…c4dabacked Phillies | 53c | 2,714$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 53c | 2,580$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.26 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 46c | 2,342$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.11 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Cubs | 38c | 2,333$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.66 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 53c | 2,234$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.67 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Phillies | 58c | 2,221$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.31 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Phillies | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Cubs | 46c | 1,990$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.4 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 53c | 1,931$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.4 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Cubs | 35c | 1,788$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.74 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Phillies | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 54c | 1,500$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.94 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cubs | 55c | 1,449$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cubs | 36c | 1,387$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Cubs | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.97 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Cubs | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Cubs | 46c | 1,151$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.85 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Cubs | 48c | 1,139$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Cubs | 20c | 1,128$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.28 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…337fbacked Cubs | 65c | 1,047$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Phillies | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 54c | 995.2$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.58 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Phillies | 41c | 983$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.97 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cubs | 35c | 934.33$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cubs | 35c | 894.46$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.29 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Phillies | 47c | 854.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Phillies | 68c | 785.62$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.4 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Cubs | 26c | 763.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Phillies | 53c | 736.83$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.31 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Cubs | 71c | 700.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cubs | 66c | 669$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.54 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Phillies | 56c | 659.56$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.21 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Phillies | 54c | 578.7$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.2 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Cubs | 29c | 578.07$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.76 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Cubs | 49c | 573.98$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.89 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Cubs | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Cubs | 46c | 499.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.55 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 63c | 479.96$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Phillies | 54c | 462.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.97 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Phillies | 56c | 445.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.23 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 41c | 445.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.88 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Cubs | 5c | 434.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Cubs | 49c | 430.53$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Phillies | 54c | 429.63$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.63 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Phillies | 48c | 428.74$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.45 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cubs | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Phillies | 53c | 400.97$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…eb2ebacked Cubs | 47c | 376.97$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Phillies | 57c | 371.4$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…82d1backed Cubs | 44c | 367.93$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 13c | 360.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 52c | 328.42$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cubs | 73c | 327.84$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.32 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Phillies | 54c | 322.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…9b0ebacked Phillies | 57c | 320.74$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e9…2238backed Cubs | 47c | 316.21$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…27ebbacked Cubs | 44c | 312.91$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2252…3f47backed Phillies | 54c | 306.59$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 56c | 305.09$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…933dbacked Phillies | 54c | 300.8$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Phillies | 67c | 300.54$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Phillies | 64c | 279.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…4aedbacked Phillies | 57c | 275.89$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…3f00backed Phillies | 38c | 268.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 25c | 264.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 35c | 260.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Phillies | 40c | 252.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cubs | 61c | 250$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Cubs | 45c | 244.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Phillies | 54c | 243.15$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 47c | 240.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Phillies | 54c | 237.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Phillies | 44c | 228.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cubs | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 56c | 223.89$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Phillies | 55c | 220.22$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cubs | 46c | 216$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Cubs | 49c | 211$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cubs | 52c | 208.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Cubs | 59c | 202.03$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cubs | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.