TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a06…1e43

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT9920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.46
Mariners vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.88
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Guardians vs. Giantsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+139.7%+$1,187.17
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$576.97
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+194.8%+$313.55
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$494
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Twins vs. Astrosbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Guardians vs. Marinersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$740
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,019.41
White Sox vs. Rangersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Angels vs. Oriolesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,130.75
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
White Sox vs. Rangersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Rays vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,119
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT3125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Rune vs. Bautista Agutbacked Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+246.8%+$574.74
Terra Wortmann: Khachanov vs. Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,966.99
HSBC Championships: Nakashima vs. Draper backed Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,121
Terra Wortmann: Cobolli vs. Zverevbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
HSBC Championships: Lehecka vs. Fearnleybacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500.24
Terra Wortmann: Michelsen vs. Medvedevbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,001.15
Terra Wortmann: Sonego vs. Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+61.4%+$532.7
Terra Wortmann: Rublev vs. Etcheverrybacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$650
Terra Wortmann: Shapovalov vs. Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+120.5%+$421.74
Terra Wortmann: Auger-Aliassime vs. Khachanovbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
HSBC Championships: Rune vs. McDonaldbacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+92.7%+$927.33
HSBC Championships: Evans vs. Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$137.93
Terra Wortmann: Michelsen vs. Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$539.83
HSBC Championships: Popyrin vs. Draper backed Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+122%+$393.57
Terra Wortmann: Halys vs. Medvedevbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
HSBC Championships: Bautista Agut vs. Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
Terra Wortmann: Bergs vs. Khachanovbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Terra Wortmann: Rublev vs. Ofner backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$1,545.04
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
French Open: Sinner vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
French Open: Paul vs. Alcaraz backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
French Open: Musetti vs. Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
French Open: Bublik vs. Draperbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$332
French Open: Norrie vs. Djokovicbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
French Open: Musetti vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Storm vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Mystics vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Aces vs Lynxbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
Mercury vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Storm vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,846Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+185.1%+$3,415.99
Wings vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+211%+$2,268.59
Valkyries vs Mercurybacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$286
All 7 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+66.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.15
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+520.6%+$3,547.69
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+114.1%+$373
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahly beat Palmeiras?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$222
Will Botafogo beat Seattle Sounders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,619Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+128.8%+$2,085.99
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckleybacked Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+186.8%+$3,361.89
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Maverickbacked Maverick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Garbrandt vs. Barcelosbacked Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+110.4%+$1,064.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.