TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rays vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raysof Rays, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,676 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfba6…375cbacked Rays66c16,094$10,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.5186751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Mets37c9,830$3,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,685.8219650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets32c5,671$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.091,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Mets62c4,435$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.8998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Mets15c3,302$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rays78c2,826$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.0440547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rays39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mets32c2,469$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79068656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Mets61c2,400$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.9749250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays38c2,122$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.992,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mets14c2,000$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28625416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Mets61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2207248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Mets60c1,995$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.8731346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rays32c1,906$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.532,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rays38c1,863$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.0676456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays38c1,781$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.91,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Rays72c1,752$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.1739739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Rays40c1,712$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.227953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays19c1,390$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.9295930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rays39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.051,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rays62c1,150$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.091,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Mets48c1,043$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets45c1,000$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mets62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rays38c999.95$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.9793240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed Mets44c753.05$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rays41c701.22$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.7270946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Mets24c649.52$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.532832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets61c632.26$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.681,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Mets37c609.8$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1517744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rays39c571.67$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.725,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets38c536$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.319,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rays38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Mets3c500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5504%2 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-86.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Mets61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rays23c440.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.221,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rays39c399.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Mets65c397.11$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.1213946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mets48c350$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16892754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Mets63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Rays39c315.59$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5160249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ba…92f7backed Mets64c313.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009246.7%43 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Mets6c310.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mets59c304.44$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4451151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Mets61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18313555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rays38c295$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.944443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Mets49c250$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12212451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Rays62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9525550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d3…3917backed Mets64c235.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rays49c235$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.51,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Mets16c222.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.424040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rays25c216.73$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7338743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Rays41c215.75$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.378139.5%32 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2456…7864backed Mets62c211.13$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.52864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rays39c205.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.851,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rays6c200$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1888762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bed…8a60backed Rays39c159.08$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.043145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59de…de22backed Mets60c158.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.185145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…1070backed Mets64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003941%16 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Mets64c150.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.327663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rays66c142$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.281,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80e1…8e76backed Rays39c129.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.822661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b66…7554backed Mets62c129.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805459.3%32 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Rays39c119.97$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1841649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe385…cbccbacked Mets10c108.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rays38c107.93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.826,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets63c107$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.412,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb540…1319backed Rays39c103.62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.213339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rays66c103.38$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3aa7…ca82backed Mets63c103.38$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.132650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Rays24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6738741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Rays27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7350447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ea…17ebbacked Mets62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Mets20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Mets61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4285047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rays38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rays37c99.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb05a…398bbacked Rays39c99.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.53148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Mets61c98.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.061,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Mets63c95.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c11…719fbacked Mets62c94.56$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.632751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Rays39c92.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.621,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80a0…d0afbacked Mets62c92.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.282948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…55a0backed Mets61c89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.292623.1%6 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-49.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Rays39c81.9$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9616055.6%89 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd958…2ee0backed Mets62c81.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.412951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Mets63c78.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.997256.9%41 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Mets42c78.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9155152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Rays38c78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3640352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Mets16c72.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.664043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Mets42c71.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1242955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Rays29c68.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3420343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mets22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4206…3187backed Rays39c68.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.572860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Mets61c66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2619849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Rays40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.58434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ebe…2461backed Rays39c60.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.053060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d91…ebcebacked Mets62c59.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.612934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-38.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.