TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67a5…9996

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT5121.6%11 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$447.93
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$391
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.19
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$351.94
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.85
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$272.37
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.57
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.64
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Timberwolves (To Advance)backed T-Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will the Timberwolves beat the Thunder 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$647.04
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.43
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.2
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.28
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.88
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$117.75
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.3
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+5,658.8%+$1,588.22
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$550.56
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$34.89
Knicks vs. Grizzliesbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+185.7%+$55.71
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT504%2 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-86.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.2
Rays vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Tigers vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.36
Mets vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.74
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.68
Dodgers vs. Cardinalsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.28
Mets vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.33
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.43
Royals vs. White Soxbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Astros vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.28
Rangers vs. Nationalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.86
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.04
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.83
Angels vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.82
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.29
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+348.7%+$580.9
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.19
Nationals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.9
Angels vs. Guardiansbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.04
Rockies vs. Metsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.49
Cardinals vs. Rangersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.44
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.57
Athletics vs. Blue Jaysbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.16
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+105.5%+$77.52
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.13
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.58
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.25
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Jets vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+117.3%+$175.9
Kraken vs. Bluesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$161.53
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$34.96
All 13 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-76.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pena vs. Harrisonbacked Pena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.73
Williams vs. Gustafssonbacked Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.25
da Silva vs. Congbacked da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.47
Cejudo vs. Songbacked Cejudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$142
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$132.69
Will Aston Villa vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+300%+$105
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.89
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
French Open: Sinner vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.39
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Qinwenbacked Qinwen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$323.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will D.C. United beat Chicago Fire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.