MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa388bad8d809490518a9517df70ff0cdd7d2fe4c54281a1ead88deba33336ea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Athletics, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Blue Jays | 60c | 12,303$7,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.08 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Athletics | 0c | 10,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Athletics | 0c | 7,335$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 40c | 5,086$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.64 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 40c | 3,526$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Athletics | 40c | 3,495$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.06 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Athletics | 40c | 2,977$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 39c | 2,864$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.77 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Blue Jays | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.02 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 40c | 2,377$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.63 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dae…0907backed Blue Jays | 58c | 2,276$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…05d5backed Athletics | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e4d0backed Athletics | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…669abacked Athletics | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Athletics | 40c | 1,972$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.8 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c4…6f33backed Blue Jays | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…03aebacked Blue Jays | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Blue Jays | 62c | 974.77$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.41 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa593…4ac5backed Blue Jays | 58c | 950$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91b…d0acbacked Athletics | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Athletics | 8c | 887.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Blue Jays | 80c | 849.3$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.26 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays | 60c | 816.28$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.2 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf75…7352backed Athletics | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…4ca9backed Blue Jays | 58c | 793$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…391ebacked Blue Jays | 58c | 750$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5103…88b9backed Athletics | 42c | 750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 2c | 707.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Athletics | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Athletics | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…8397backed Athletics | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…61a1backed Blue Jays | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays | 59c | 562.46$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.61 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Athletics | 11c | 557.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Athletics | 5c | 505.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…66f7backed Athletics | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Athletics | 15c | 450$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 4c | 401.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…52cbbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 363.97$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.89 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…7720backed Blue Jays | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Blue Jays | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Blue Jays | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 308.95$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Athletics | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 41c | 243.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 41c | 242.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 59c | 230.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 41c | 173.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 165.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 61c | 146.36$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…3404backed Athletics | 41c | 118.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb440…6806backed Athletics | 40c | 116.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Athletics | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…8fedbacked Athletics | 40c | 108.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9858…2a5fbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 107.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…ebcebacked Blue Jays | 62c | 106.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff0…7881backed Athletics | 40c | 102.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…93e9backed Athletics | 40c | 101.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Athletics | 41c | 101$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Athletics | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Athletics | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…3bc2backed Blue Jays | 60c | 93.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Athletics | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…8811backed Blue Jays | 61c | 90.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…82cabacked Athletics | 41c | 89.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7f…6c30backed Athletics | 40c | 88.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…99edbacked Athletics | 40c | 87.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2492…bc8bbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 85.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…ff0bbacked Athletics | 40c | 85.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…011dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 84.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe844…638bbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 84.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…6ec8backed Blue Jays | 61c | 83.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…7f88backed Blue Jays | 61c | 83.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…2c15backed Blue Jays | 61c | 82.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…0b30backed Athletics | 40c | 82.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85e…b18fbacked Athletics | 40c | 81.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 40c | 81.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…f295backed Athletics | 40c | 79.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba44…ad5bbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 79.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8988…5dd5backed Blue Jays | 58c | 79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…8f1abacked Athletics | 42c | 79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…c050backed Blue Jays | 61c | 78.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0c…f506backed Blue Jays | 61c | 77.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc21…5020backed Athletics | 40c | 77.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7887…6cfdbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 75.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…2ee0backed Blue Jays | 62c | 75.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…a6c9backed Athletics | 40c | 74.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c5…715bbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 73.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…4040backed Athletics | 41c | 73.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.