TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80f8…6713

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT4261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+70.4%+$140.72
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$179.22
Cubs vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$161.54
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+61.4%+$368.55
Tigers vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Mariners vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$200
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$105.91
Phillies vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$266.04
Marlins vs. Raysbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$347.46
Braves vs. Giantsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Dodgers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+64.7%+$323.39
Blue Jays vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Braves vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
Marlins vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$694.92
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Phillies vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+79.9%+$798.67
Royals vs. Cardinalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Diamondbacks vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Astros vs. Piratesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Angels vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+78.9%+$394.34
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+70%+$350.12
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,250
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+78.4%+$235.09
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
All 5 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$851.85
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Gujarat Titans vs. Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+61.9%+$247.41
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$295.52
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$245.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,383.68
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,165.99
Will Donald Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$67.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$604.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$221.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.