MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x937fc0ab36e281efcee988a37f0baf302ea121f822f335cfeb6049dbcddac6bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Rockies, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Marlins | 59c | 108,770$64,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,174.05 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies | 41c | 32,740$13,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,403.91 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Rockies | 41c | 32,629$13,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,251.13 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Marlins | 58c | 14,778$8,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,569.67 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies | 41c | 12,976$5,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,665.1 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Marlins | 23c | 11,541$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.25 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies | 41c | 11,530$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,802.48 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 40c | 11,188$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,712.7 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Marlins | 60c | 9,976$5,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965.76 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 60c | 8,888$5,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,288.36 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 41c | 6,419$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.99 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Rockies | 41c | 6,276$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Marlins | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rockies | 56c | 5,555$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.78 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockies | 46c | 5,218$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.22 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 40c | 4,789$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.98 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Marlins | 20c | 4,339$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.07 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Rockies | 70c | 4,311$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 48c | 4,119$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Rockies | 75c | 3,199$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.96 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…5932backed Rockies | 70c | 2,859$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 74cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…4ac2backed Marlins | 49c | 2,791$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Rockies | 41c | 2,700$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Rockies | 80c | 2,511$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.28 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Marlins | 60c | 2,484$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.48 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Marlins | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rockies | 42c | 2,200$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Marlins | 60c | 2,008$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.57 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Rockies | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Rockies | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockies | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockies | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.09 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Rockies | 77c | 1,717$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.18 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Rockies | 56c | 1,650$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rockies | 59c | 1,600$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Rockies | 44c | 1,588$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.98 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Marlins | 59c | 1,550$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.97 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Marlins | 60c | 1,548$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.97 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rockies | 42c | 1,518$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.59 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Rockies | 68c | 1,472$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.32 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rockies | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.17 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Rockies | 74c | 1,452$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.49 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…eb7cbacked Marlins | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Marlins | 13c | 1,379$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.62 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…fb1fbacked Rockies | 75c | 1,338$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marlins | 56c | 1,315$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.54 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Marlins | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rockies | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.94 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Marlins | 50c | 1,209$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.13 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockies | 38c | 1,149$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.57 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Marlins | 45c | 1,068$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.7 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockies | 66c | 1,019$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.43 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Marlins | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Rockies | 41c | 724.63$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rockies | 40c | 649.24$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.4 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Marlins | 53c | 645.28$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Marlins | 59c | 600$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Marlins | 59c | 567.8$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Rockies | 41c | 509.97$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.88 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 12c | 479.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rockies | 42c | 433.33$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.33 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…4faabacked Marlins | 26c | 432.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Marlins | 57c | 421.05$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Marlins | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Marlins | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Marlins | 37c | 415.63$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Rockies | 67c | 409.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x915e…2a71backed Rockies | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rockies | 40c | 399.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.98 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Marlins | 60c | 343.43$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.06 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Marlins | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 46c | 327.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 31c | 314.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 56c | 306.8$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Marlins | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Marlins | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Rockies | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Marlins | 60c | 286.69$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.01 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Marlins | 28c | 259.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Marlins | 63c | 254.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…bc71backed Marlins | 80c | 251.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…c455backed Marlins | 17c | 239.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Rockies | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Rockies | 40c | 226$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.36 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Marlins | 60c | 200.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockies | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Marlins | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Marlins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Rockies | 64c | 187.71$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50cd…3477backed Marlins | 60c | 184$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…3678backed Rockies | 41c | 183.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Rockies | 66c | 169.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies | 48c | 168.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Marlins | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 60c | 166.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Marlins | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.