TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb26…94dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
280
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT12314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.85
Will the Detroit Tigers win the AL Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$308
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$458.81
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Diamondbacks vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$29.6
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.32
Blue Jays vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Rangers vs. Oriolesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Royals vs. Padresbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.6
Braves vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.53
Red Sox vs. Giantsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.6
White Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.3
Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.24
Brewers vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.6
Tigers vs. Raysbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.14
White Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.19
Rangers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.4
Mariners vs. Cubsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$90.52
Pirates vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.1
Cardinals vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Guardians vs. Giantsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.73
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10018%18 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.8
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$449.36
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$83
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$353
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.22
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.95
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.25
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.31
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.3
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$87
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.6
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+1,011.1%+$154.7
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.95
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+469.6%+$148.4
Will Elon tweet 220–234 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$403.4
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.79
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.59
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.13
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.74
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.9
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.91
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+142.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2024, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Coastal Carolina vs. UTSAbacked Coastal Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$47.9
Clemson vs. Texasbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$14
SMU vs. Penn Statebacked SMU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$11.25
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+184.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+184.9%+$324.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$23.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.