NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dbc036689c64c4bcec2dcd03a63825e79b6b2ab2fc7d45e279538478b37d0f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Grizzlies, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 8,017$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917.46 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Grizzlies | 23c | 8,013$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.27 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Grizzlies | 32c | 7,920$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.2 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Grizzlies | 35c | 6,933$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.2 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 6,475$4,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.22 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ce…17dabacked Trail Blazers | 77c | 5,387$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 5,224$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.04 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Trail Blazers | 69c | 5,176$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.31 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Grizzlies | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Trail Blazers | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Grizzlies | 1c | 4,234$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 4,150$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.74 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 2,765$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.6 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Grizzlies | 33c | 2,481$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.19 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 21c | 2,375$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.36 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Grizzlies | 40c | 2,373$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 2,240$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Grizzlies | 63c | 2,210$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Grizzlies | 46c | 2,200$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Grizzlies | 32c | 2,124$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.64 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 2,056$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.62 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,971$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.25 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,933$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.29 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 1,858$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.46 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…de2dbacked Trail Blazers | 38c | 1,646$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Trail Blazers | 74c | 1,574$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.3 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…e344backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,532$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 1,516$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.3 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,502$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Trail Blazers | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 8c | 1,500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 61c | 1,498$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.94 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 1,400$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.69 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 1,400$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.99 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Trail Blazers | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Grizzlies | 16c | 1,279$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 1,155$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.88 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…db29backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Grizzlies | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Trail Blazers | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 979.3$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.17 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…d0c2backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 950$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…d2e1backed Grizzlies | 63c | 950$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 946.01$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.98 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Grizzlies | 33c | 900$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Grizzlies | 10c | 888$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 72c | 819.18$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.12 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers | 71c | 788.44$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.58 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Grizzlies | 62c | 763.3$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.61 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f019backed Grizzlies | 28c | 729.21$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Trail Blazers | 75c | 699.26$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.89 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…fa70backed Grizzlies | 37c | 677.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Grizzlies | 15c | 675$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 61c | 659.05$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.02 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 62c | 652$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.24 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 4c | 650$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 611$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.37 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Grizzlies | 8c | 607.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Grizzlies | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 588.04$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.34 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Grizzlies | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Trail Blazers | 38c | 525$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 524$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.24 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Grizzlies | 61c | 490.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 67c | 486$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.42 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 474.73$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.63 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd945…c734backed Grizzlies | 63c | 441.57$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Grizzlies | 65c | 440.77$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.02 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…5b57backed Grizzlies | 63c | 428.08$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Grizzlies | 62c | 423$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.26 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 419.65$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.38 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…3204backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 418.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 400$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 399.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 389.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.74 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Trail Blazers | 71c | 380.34$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 360$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Grizzlies | 29c | 347.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 333$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Grizzlies | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Grizzlies | 6c | 305.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Grizzlies | 18c | 305.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Grizzlies | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies | 63c | 299.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies | 62c | 299.94$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Grizzlies | 35c | 283.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x311b…080dbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 270.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 263.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.