TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x33c7…e344

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$689
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$619.87
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$1,420
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.94
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$869.91
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$779.99
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$659.97
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$959.9
Predators vs. Utahbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$942.37
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$701.96
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$307.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.18
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$990
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$520
Pirates vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,470
Royals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$408
Astros vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$111
All 6 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-65.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$487.5
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.71
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$189
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$949.71
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+109.1%+$759.81
All 6 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PSG vs. Bayern Munich: 4+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$738
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$148
Will Roma beat FC Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$351.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$840
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold Cup Final Winner: USA vs. Mexico backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$308
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.