NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cfe40128fed46d3df28c705223d5f3c0507b0f8b192630dfd09fad12f733e6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Ducks | 47c | 159,716$74,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,797.72 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Avalanche | 54c | 26,129$14,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,992.73 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Avalanche | 52c | 17,540$9,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,486.74 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Avalanche | 54c | 17,050$9,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,843 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Avalanche | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche | 50c | 11,813$5,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,933.47 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Avalanche | 38c | 11,702$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,226.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Avalanche | 52c | 11,634$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,633.04 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Avalanche | 41c | 11,381$4,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,662.73 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Ducks | 65c | 10,112$6,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,572.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Avalanche | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Ducks | 50c | 8,000$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Avalanche | 53c | 7,400$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Avalanche | 55c | 5,486$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.74 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Avalanche | 51c | 4,453$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.97 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Avalanche | 53c | 4,000$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.41 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Avalanche | 53c | 3,900$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 55c | 3,675$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.89 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Avalanche | 50c | 3,338$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.82 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Avalanche | 53c | 3,074$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.77 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Avalanche | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche | 10c | 2,875$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.73 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche | 51c | 2,583$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.05 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche | 60c | 2,328$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.98 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Avalanche | 48c | 2,299$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Avalanche | 33c | 2,100$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.99 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Avalanche | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Avalanche | 55c | 1,774$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Ducks | 46c | 1,650$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche | 51c | 1,600$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.67 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Avalanche | 11c | 1,575$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.95 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Avalanche | 19c | 1,563$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.66 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,554$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.92 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…d204backed Avalanche | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Ducks | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Avalanche | 49c | 1,498$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Avalanche | 49c | 1,456$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.76 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Avalanche | 26c | 1,340$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Avalanche | 54c | 1,318$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.28 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Avalanche | 47c | 1,284$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.06 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Avalanche | 53c | 1,177$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.42 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Avalanche | 54c | 1,141$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.7 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Avalanche | 54c | 1,063$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.96 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Ducks | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Avalanche | 57c | 1,007$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.01 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Avalanche | 30c | 1,005$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.93 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Avalanche | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Avalanche | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Avalanche | 54c | 897$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.62 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Avalanche | 37c | 878.81$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.81 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Avalanche | 10c | 860.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.1 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Avalanche | 54c | 851.85$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Avalanche | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Ducks | 46c | 704.35$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Avalanche | 15c | 629$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.59 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…d60ebacked Avalanche | 54c | 608.88$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Avalanche | 57c | 604.5$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.29 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Avalanche | 51c | 574.41$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.46 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Avalanche | 30c | 560.61$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.05 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Avalanche | 52c | 554.07$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Avalanche | 36c | 551.84$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.5 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Avalanche | 57c | 547.03$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.77 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Avalanche | 53c | 539.71$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.13 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Avalanche | 17c | 535.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.2 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…9e9fbacked Avalanche | 38c | 525.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Avalanche | 37c | 495.13$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.65 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Avalanche | 59c | 483.7$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.32 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Avalanche | 52c | 458.18$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.77 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…e344backed Ducks | 46c | 456.39$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Ducks | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Avalanche | 52c | 415.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Avalanche | 53c | 394.06$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.66 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Ducks | 48c | 362.5$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Avalanche | 51c | 361.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Avalanche | 55c | 351.13$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Avalanche | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Avalanche | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Avalanche | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…98fbbacked Ducks | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…029ebacked Avalanche | 55c | 294.55$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…3b2fbacked Avalanche | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…b1e0backed Ducks | 48c | 276.52$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fa…f7a6backed Ducks | 64c | 256$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Avalanche | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Avalanche | 7c | 244.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.06 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Avalanche | 53c | 236.54$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche | 52c | 234.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Avalanche | 50c | 227.16$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Ducks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Ducks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Ducks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Avalanche | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 51c | 196.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Avalanche | 55c | 196.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Avalanche | 49c | 163$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…429dbacked Avalanche | 55c | 160.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Avalanche | 53c | 151.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Avalanche | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Avalanche | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.